{
  "dataset": "country-resilience-snapshot",
  "countryCode": "CU",
  "countryName": "Cuba",
  "slug": "cuba",
  "rank": null,
  "overallScore": null,
  "dimensionCoverage": 0.58,
  "confidence": "standard",
  "level": "unpublished",
  "sourceStatus": "unpublished",
  "headlineEligible": false,
  "capturedAt": "2026-08-29",
  "methodologyFormula": "pillar-combined-penalized-v1",
  "rankedCount": 170,
  "source": "docs/snapshots/resilience-ranking-2026-08-29.json",
  "license": "https://www.worldmonitor.app/docs/terms",
  "developments": {
    "headlines": [
      {
        "title": "Cuban Journalist Henry Constantin Enters Prison",
        "source": "Havana Times",
        "url": "https://havanatimes.org/sos-for-journalist/cuban-journalist-henry-constantin-enters-prison/",
        "publishedAt": "2026-09-27T16:51:04.000Z"
      },
      {
        "title": "Is a Peaceful Transition in Cuba Possible?",
        "source": "Havana Times",
        "url": "https://havanatimes.org/opinion/is-a-peaceful-transition-in-cuba-possible/",
        "publishedAt": "2026-09-27T22:19:30.000Z"
      },
      {
        "title": "The Showman and Racism in Cuba",
        "source": "Havana Times",
        "url": "https://havanatimes.org/diaries/erick-hernandez/the-showman-and-racism-in-cuba/",
        "publishedAt": "2026-09-27T19:57:34.000Z"
      },
      {
        "title": "Cuba warns against ‘law of the jungle’ as Foreign Minister denounces US pressure",
        "source": "UN News",
        "url": "https://news.un.org/feed/view/en/story/2026/09/1168458",
        "publishedAt": "2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z"
      },
      {
        "title": "China pushes back against US on Iran and Cuba in UN speech",
        "source": "MyJoyOnline",
        "url": "https://www.myjoyonline.com/china-pushes-back-against-us-on-iran-and-cuba-in-un-speech/",
        "publishedAt": "2026-09-28T02:26:00.000Z"
      }
    ],
    "brief": {
      "text": "SITUATION NOW\nCuban journalist Henry Constantin has entered prison. [1]\n\nWHAT THIS MEANS FOR CUBA\nCuba's denunciation of US pressure comes as the country is linked to 120 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations. [4][E3]\n\nKEY RISKS\nCuba is linked to 120 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations, which could increase economic pressure. [E3]\n\nOUTLOOK\nA Polymarket market related to Cuba, \"US strike on Cuba by December 31?\", is priced Yes at 15% on Sep 28, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2027. [E5]\nA Polymarket market related to Cuba, \"Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?\", is priced Yes at 16% on Sep 28, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2027. [E6]\n\nWATCH ITEMS\nThe question of whether a peaceful transition in Cuba is possible remains unresolved. [2]\nThe outcome of the Polymarket market \"US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?\" is pending. [E7]",
      "generatedAt": "2026-09-28T05:00:07.506Z",
      "sources": [
        {
          "title": "Cuban Journalist Henry Constantin Enters Prison",
          "source": "Havana Times",
          "url": "https://havanatimes.org/sos-for-journalist/cuban-journalist-henry-constantin-enters-prison/",
          "publishedAt": "2026-09-27T16:51:04.000Z"
        },
        {
          "title": "Is a Peaceful Transition in Cuba Possible?",
          "source": "Havana Times",
          "url": "https://havanatimes.org/opinion/is-a-peaceful-transition-in-cuba-possible/",
          "publishedAt": "2026-09-27T22:19:30.000Z"
        },
        {
          "title": "The Showman and Racism in Cuba",
          "source": "Havana Times",
          "url": "https://havanatimes.org/diaries/erick-hernandez/the-showman-and-racism-in-cuba/",
          "publishedAt": "2026-09-27T19:57:34.000Z"
        },
        {
          "title": "Cuba warns against ‘law of the jungle’ as Foreign Minister denounces US pressure",
          "source": "UN News",
          "url": "https://news.un.org/feed/view/en/story/2026/09/1168458",
          "publishedAt": "2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z"
        },
        {
          "title": "China pushes back against US on Iran and Cuba in UN speech",
          "source": "MyJoyOnline",
          "url": "https://www.myjoyonline.com/china-pushes-back-against-us-on-iran-and-cuba-in-un-speech/",
          "publishedAt": "2026-09-28T02:26:00.000Z"
        }
      ],
      "evidence": [
        {
          "id": "E3",
          "kind": "sanctions",
          "label": "US OFAC and Canada SEMA designations",
          "value": "120",
          "factText": "Cuba is linked to 120 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations, as of Sep 28, 2026.",
          "asOf": "2026-09-28T00:01:35.739Z"
        },
        {
          "id": "E5",
          "kind": "market",
          "label": "Polymarket prediction market",
          "value": "15%",
          "factText": "A Polymarket market related to Cuba, \"US strike on Cuba by December 31?\", priced Yes at 15% on Sep 28, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2027.",
          "asOf": "2026-09-28T04:51:12.326Z",
          "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-strike-on-cuba-by"
        },
        {
          "id": "E6",
          "kind": "market",
          "label": "Polymarket prediction market",
          "value": "16%",
          "factText": "A Polymarket market related to Cuba, \"Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?\", priced Yes at 16% on Sep 28, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2027.",
          "asOf": "2026-09-28T04:51:12.326Z",
          "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30"
        },
        {
          "id": "E7",
          "kind": "market",
          "label": "Polymarket prediction market",
          "value": "24%",
          "factText": "A Polymarket market related to Cuba, \"US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?\", priced Yes at 24% on Sep 28, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2027.",
          "asOf": "2026-09-28T04:51:12.326Z",
          "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-cuba-economic-deal-by"
        }
      ]
    },
    "timeline": [],
    "timelineStatus": "available",
    "briefSkipped": null,
    "capturedAt": "2026-09-28T04:55:11.500Z"
  }
}
