{
  "dataset": "country-resilience-snapshot",
  "countryCode": "RS",
  "countryName": "Serbia",
  "slug": "serbia",
  "rank": 31,
  "overallScore": 61.7,
  "dimensionCoverage": 0.79,
  "confidence": "standard",
  "level": "high",
  "sourceStatus": "ranked",
  "headlineEligible": true,
  "capturedAt": "2026-08-29",
  "methodologyFormula": "pillar-combined-penalized-v1",
  "rankedCount": 170,
  "source": "docs/snapshots/resilience-ranking-2026-08-29.json",
  "license": "https://www.worldmonitor.app/docs/terms",
  "developments": {
    "headlines": [
      {
        "title": "Vucic resigns as Serbia's president, setting up election that could see him become PM",
        "source": "CBC News",
        "url": "https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/vucic-resigns-serbia-president-9.7360341?cmp=rss",
        "publishedAt": "2026-09-27T19:08:34.000Z"
      },
      {
        "title": "Embattled Serbian president resigns, paving way for early elections",
        "source": "BBC World",
        "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ckpq0g7z5pjjo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss",
        "publishedAt": "2026-09-27T20:04:21.000Z"
      },
      {
        "title": "Populist Serbian president resigning to run for prime minister in snap election",
        "source": "National Post",
        "url": "https://nationalpost.com/news/serbian-president-resigning-prime-minister-snap-election",
        "publishedAt": "2026-09-27T19:11:27.000Z"
      },
      {
        "title": "Embattled Serbian president resigns, paving way for early elections",
        "source": "MyJoyOnline",
        "url": "https://www.myjoyonline.com/embattled-serbian-president-resigns-paving-way-for-early-elections/",
        "publishedAt": "2026-09-27T22:36:00.000Z"
      },
      {
        "title": "Serbia's President Aleksandar Vucic announces resignation",
        "source": "Le Monde",
        "url": "https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2026/09/27/serbia-s-president-aleksandar-vucic-announces-resignation_6758015_4.html",
        "publishedAt": "2026-09-27T21:53:37.000Z"
      }
    ],
    "brief": {
      "text": "SITUATION NOW\nSerbia's President Aleksandar Vucic has resigned, setting up an election that could see him become prime minister. [1][5]\n\nWHAT THIS MEANS FOR SERBIA\nVucic's resignation and potential shift to prime minister occurs while Serbia is linked to 51 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations. [1][E2]\n\nKEY RISKS\nSerbia's net energy import dependency of 41% could pose a risk to economic stability during the political transition. [E3]\n\nOUTLOOK\nA Polymarket market on whether Aleksandar Vučić will be the next Prime Minister of Serbia is priced Yes at 68% as of Sep 28, 2026, closing Jun 30, 2028. [E5]\nA Kalshi market on whether Aleksandar Vučić will be Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election is priced Yes at 32% as of Sep 28, 2026, closing Dec 31, 2028. [E6]\n\nWATCH ITEMS\nThe outcome of the snap election following Vucic's resignation remains unresolved. [1][2]",
      "generatedAt": "2026-09-28T05:06:04.150Z",
      "sources": [
        {
          "title": "Vucic resigns as Serbia's president, setting up election that could see him become PM",
          "source": "CBC News",
          "url": "https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/vucic-resigns-serbia-president-9.7360341?cmp=rss",
          "publishedAt": "2026-09-27T19:08:34.000Z"
        },
        {
          "title": "Embattled Serbian president resigns, paving way for early elections",
          "source": "BBC World",
          "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ckpq0g7z5pjjo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss",
          "publishedAt": "2026-09-27T20:04:21.000Z"
        },
        {
          "title": "Populist Serbian president resigning to run for prime minister in snap election",
          "source": "National Post",
          "url": "https://nationalpost.com/news/serbian-president-resigning-prime-minister-snap-election",
          "publishedAt": "2026-09-27T19:11:27.000Z"
        },
        {
          "title": "Embattled Serbian president resigns, paving way for early elections",
          "source": "MyJoyOnline",
          "url": "https://www.myjoyonline.com/embattled-serbian-president-resigns-paving-way-for-early-elections/",
          "publishedAt": "2026-09-27T22:36:00.000Z"
        },
        {
          "title": "Serbia's President Aleksandar Vucic announces resignation",
          "source": "Le Monde",
          "url": "https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2026/09/27/serbia-s-president-aleksandar-vucic-announces-resignation_6758015_4.html",
          "publishedAt": "2026-09-27T21:53:37.000Z"
        }
      ],
      "evidence": [
        {
          "id": "E2",
          "kind": "sanctions",
          "label": "US OFAC and Canada SEMA designations",
          "value": "51",
          "factText": "Serbia is linked to 51 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations, as of Sep 28, 2026.",
          "asOf": "2026-09-28T00:01:35.739Z"
        },
        {
          "id": "E3",
          "kind": "energy",
          "label": "Net energy import dependency",
          "value": "41%",
          "factText": "Serbia has a net energy import dependency of 41% (Eurostat, 2024).",
          "asOf": "2024-12-31T00:00:00.000Z"
        },
        {
          "id": "E5",
          "kind": "market",
          "label": "Polymarket prediction market",
          "value": "68%",
          "factText": "A Polymarket market related to Serbia, \"Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?\", priced Yes at 68% on Sep 28, 2026; it closes Jun 30, 2028.",
          "asOf": "2026-09-28T05:00:34.359Z",
          "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642"
        },
        {
          "id": "E6",
          "kind": "market",
          "label": "Kalshi prediction market",
          "value": "32%",
          "factText": "A Kalshi market related to Serbia, \"Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?: Aleksandar Vučić\", priced Yes at 32% on Sep 28, 2026; it closes Dec 31, 2028.",
          "asOf": "2026-09-28T05:00:34.359Z",
          "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/KXSERBIAPM-27DEC31-AVUC"
        }
      ]
    },
    "timeline": [],
    "timelineStatus": "available",
    "briefSkipped": null,
    "capturedAt": "2026-09-28T04:55:11.500Z"
  }
}
