CBK 2021 Climate Guidance & IFC EDGE Actuarial Modeler
CBK Climate Risk & ESG Stress Test Cockpit
Evaluate climate shock impacts on SACCO loan portfolios, IFRS 9 ECL provisions, and IFC EDGE green mortgage refinancing qualification.
Portfolio Actuarial Variables
CBK Regulatory Compliance Tier
High RiskStatus: Action Required
Physical Haircut Impact
KES 131.25M
Agri & real estate collateral devaluation
Transition Risk DTI Penalty
KES 60.00M
Energy & carbon cost repayment penalty
Climate-Adjusted IFRS 9 ECL
KES 341.25M
+127.5% vs baseline provision
IFC Green Refinancing Eligible
KES 480.0M
Saves KES 12.00M p.a. @ 2.5% discount
Actuarial Governance Directives:
- 1Strong IFC green refinancing position: KES 480.0M eligible for KMRC green mortgage tranches.
- 2Establish a supplementary KES 191.25M climate ECL reserve buffer to prevent SASRA solvency ratio erosion.