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    IFRS 9 Expected Credit Loss Modeler

    Institutional Expected Credit Loss (ECL) stress-testing suite for Kenyan SACCOs and financial institutions. Model Stage 1 (12m), Stage 2 (Lifetime SICR), and Stage 3 (Impaired) provisions aligned with SASRA guidelines.

    IFRS 9 & SASRA 2026 Compliant
    Bank-Grade ECL Engine

    IFRS 9 Expected Credit Loss (ECL) Modeler

    Institutional 3-stage loan portfolio impairment, forward-looking macroeconomic stress-testing, and SASRA regulatory delta analysis.

    Total Loan Portfolio

    KES 250M

    Gross Carrying Amount

    Total IFRS 9 ECL

    KES 8.01M

    Coverage: 3.2% of portfolio

    Net Carrying Value

    KES 241.99M

    Balance Sheet Carrying Asset

    SASRA Statutory Delta

    KES -2.44M

    Statutory Reserve transfer required

    Portfolio Parameters

    250M
    Stage 1 (Performing):82%
    Stage 2 (Watch/SICR):12%
    Stage 3 (Credit Impaired):6%
    Stage 1 PD (12-month):2.2%
    Stage 2 PD (Lifetime):11.5%
    Loss Given Default (LGD):45%
    Stage 3 Collateral Coverage:55%
    Stage 3 Collateral Haircut:25%
    Effective Interest Rate (EIR):12.5%
    Average Remaining Tenor (Years):3.5

    Exposure vs ECL Provision by Stage (M KES)
    3-Stage Impairment

    ECL Provision Distribution by Stage
    KES 8.01M Total

    Stage 1 ECL
    KES 2.03M
    Coverage: 0.99%
    Stage 2 ECL
    KES 1.26M
    Coverage: 4.21%
    Stage 3 ECL
    KES 4.72M
    Coverage: 31.44%

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