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India Country Instability Index

India's Country Instability Index is 50/100 · Normal, unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of .

CII measures current stress. World Monitor's separate Country Resilience Index measures India's longer-term structural capacity.

Official name: Republic of India. Wikidata identity record.

Current signal

India instability monitor

Published pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score50Normal
24-hour comparison-window movementUnchanged
Travel advisory inputExercise Increased Caution
OFAC designations in feed176 designated entities
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Recent developments in India

India's Country Instability Index is 50/100 · Normal, unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of . Reporting captured in the same window is listed below.

Country brief

What this means for India

The floods and landslides in India, combined with a Country Instability Index score of 50, indicate a normal but vulnerable stability level. [1][E1]

India's net energy import dependency of 36% underscores its vulnerability to global energy price shocks, even as it voices concerns at the UN about paying for distant conflicts. [3][E4]

Key risks

India's link to 176 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations exposes it to secondary sanctions risks. [E3]

The most severe government travel advisory for India is Exercise Increased Caution, reflecting a risk to travelers and business operations. [E2]

Outlook

A Polymarket market on the Reserve Bank of India making no change to the policy repo rate at the October meeting is priced at 17% as of Sep 28, 2026, closing Oct 7, 2026. [E5]

A Polymarket market on India striking Pakistan by December 31, 2026 is priced at 13% as of Sep 28, 2026, closing Jan 1, 2027. [E6]

Watch items

The outcome of Assetgro FinTech's confidential IPO filing remains unresolved. [2]

It is unclear whether the Reserve Bank of India will change the policy repo rate at the October meeting. [E5]

World Monitor data cited

  • E1 · Country Instability Index: 50 of 100 (Normal) ·
  • E2 · Travel advisory: Exercise Increased Caution ·
  • E3 · US OFAC and Canada SEMA designations: 176 ·
  • E4 · Net energy import dependency: 36% ·
  • E5 · Polymarket prediction market: 17% ·
  • E6 · Polymarket prediction market: 13% ·

Automated summary of 3 cited reports and 6 World Monitor data points, generated .

Structural resilience snapshot

Rank#106
Overall score50
Dimension coverage81%
ConfidenceStandard

India resilience analysis

India ranks #106 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 50 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 59.4, with recovery capacity next at 65. Live shock exposure is strongest at 65, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 54.7. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.1 points. Dimension coverage is 81%, and the page labels confidence as standard.

Pillar profile

Six-domain profile

Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first

DimensionDomainScoreCoverageEvidence state
State continuityRecovery capacity28100%Stale
Trade policy resilienceEconomic capacity31100%Fresh
Education capacitySocial and governance36100%Fresh
Logistics and supply chainsInfrastructure3650%Fresh
Governance and institutionsSocial and governance47100%Fresh
Social cohesionSocial and governance51100%Stale
Fiscal spaceRecovery capacity56100%Fresh
Health and public servicesHealth, food and water58100%Fresh
Information environmentSocial and governance5955%Stale
Energy system resilienceEnergy security6190%Fresh
Macro-fiscal positionEconomic capacity61100%Fresh
Liquid-reserve adequacyRecovery capacity63100%Fresh
Food and water securityHealth, food and water6682%Fresh
Border securitySocial and governance73100%Stale
Financial-system exposureEconomic capacity73100%Fresh
Core infrastructureInfrastructure7970%Fresh
Currency and external balanceEconomic capacity8385%Fresh
Cyber and digital capacityInfrastructure86100%Fresh
Import concentrationRecovery capacity87100%Fresh
External-debt coverageRecovery capacity90100%Fresh
Fuel-stock bufferRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Sovereign fiscal bufferRecovery capacity—0%Not applicable

Comparison set

Nearest ranked peers: Cambodia (#105, 50.5), Nepal (#107, 49.9), Guatemala (#104, 50.6), Honduras (#108, 49.7). Comparisons in South Asia: Nepal (#107, 49.9), Sri Lanka (#111, 48.8), Maldives (#97, 51.7), Bhutan (#77, 54.5), Bangladesh (#148, 40.8). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.

Tracked crisis context

India has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.

Reading limits

Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Infrastructure, 72.4. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.

Questions about India

What is India's Country Instability Index?

India's Country Instability Index is 50/100 (Normal), unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Sep 28, 2026, 4:51 AM UTC.

What is India's resilience score?

India scores 50 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #106 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.

Which resilience pillars are weakest for India?

Structural readiness is lowest at 59.4, followed by Recovery capacity at 65. Their evidence coverage is 94% and 63%.

Is India's resilience score rising or falling?

The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.1 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the August 29, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect India are in the corrections log.

This 2026-08-29 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where World Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: World Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, August 29, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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