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Country · MX

Mexico Country Instability Index

Mexico's Country Instability Index is 70/100 · High, unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of .

CII measures current stress. World Monitor's separate Country Resilience Index measures Mexico's longer-term structural capacity.

Official name: United Mexican States. Wikidata identity record.

Current signal

Mexico instability monitor

Published pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score70High
24-hour comparison-window movementUnchanged
Travel advisory inputExercise Increased Caution
OFAC designations in feed1,172 designated entities
Open Mexico on the live map →

Recent developments in Mexico

Mexico's Country Instability Index is 70/100 · High, unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of . Reporting captured in the same window is listed below.

Country brief

Key risks

Mexico's link to 1,172 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations indicates a risk of further financial or trade restrictions. [E3]

Outlook

A Polymarket market on a US strike on Mexico by December 31 is priced Yes at 9% as of Sep 28, 2026, closing Jan 1, 2027. [E6]

Watch items

The path and potential landfall of Hurricane Polo, a strong Category 3 storm off Mexico, remains unresolved. [1]

The outcome of the United States' request for Mexico's review of the alleged workers' rights denial at Yokohama Tire Manufacturing Mexico is pending. [5]

World Monitor data cited

Automated summary of 2 cited reports and 2 World Monitor data points, generated .

Structural resilience snapshot

Rank#120
Overall score46.6
Dimension coverage81%
ConfidenceStandard

Mexico resilience analysis

Mexico ranks #120 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 46.6 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 51.7, with structural readiness next at 59.7. Live shock exposure is strongest at 70.4, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 47.7. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.4 points. Dimension coverage is 81%, and the page labels confidence as standard.

Pillar profile

Six-domain profile

Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first

DimensionDomainScoreCoverageEvidence state
State continuityRecovery capacity23100%Stale
Liquid-reserve adequacyRecovery capacity25100%Fresh
Logistics and supply chainsInfrastructure3150%Fresh
Governance and institutionsSocial and governance38100%Fresh
Social cohesionSocial and governance4292%Stale
Education capacitySocial and governance45100%Fresh
Fiscal spaceRecovery capacity53100%Fresh
Information environmentSocial and governance5555%Stale
Import concentrationRecovery capacity56100%Fresh
Border securitySocial and governance60100%Stale
Energy system resilienceEnergy security6890%Fresh
Macro-fiscal positionEconomic capacity68100%Fresh
Currency and external balanceEconomic capacity6985%Fresh
Health and public servicesHealth, food and water69100%Fresh
Food and water securityHealth, food and water7582%Fresh
Financial-system exposureEconomic capacity76100%Fresh
Core infrastructureInfrastructure7970%Fresh
Trade policy resilienceEconomic capacity82100%Fresh
Cyber and digital capacityInfrastructure86100%Fresh
External-debt coverageRecovery capacity88100%Fresh
Fuel-stock bufferRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Sovereign fiscal bufferRecovery capacity—0%Not applicable

Comparison set

Nearest ranked peers: Gabon (#119, 46.8), Liberia (#121, 46.5), Gambia (#118, 47.1), Bahrain (#122, 46.3). Comparisons in North America: Canada (#47, 59.4), United States (#44, 60). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.

Tracked crisis context

Mexico has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.

Reading limits

Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Economic capacity, 72.2. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.

Questions about Mexico

What is Mexico's Country Instability Index?

Mexico's Country Instability Index is 70/100 (High), unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Sep 28, 2026, 4:51 AM UTC.

What is Mexico's resilience score?

Mexico scores 46.6 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #120 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.

Which resilience pillars are weakest for Mexico?

Recovery capacity is lowest at 51.7, followed by Structural readiness at 59.7. Their evidence coverage is 63% and 93%.

Is Mexico's resilience score rising or falling?

The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.4 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the August 29, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect Mexico are in the corrections log.

This 2026-08-29 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where World Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: World Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, August 29, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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