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Germany Country Instability Index

Germany's Country Instability Index is 36/100 · Normal, up 4 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of .

CII measures current stress. World Monitor's separate Country Resilience Index measures Germany's longer-term structural capacity.

Official name: Federal Republic of Germany. Wikidata identity record.

Current signal

Germany instability monitor

Published pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score36Normal
24-hour comparison-window movementRising +4
Travel advisory inputExercise Increased Caution
OFAC designations in feed130 designated entities
Open Germany on the live map →

Recent developments in Germany

Germany's Country Instability Index is 36/100 · Normal, up 4 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of . Reporting captured in the same window is listed below.

Country brief

What this means for Germany

The meeting between Russian and German foreign ministers occurs while Germany has a Country Instability Index score of 36 of 100, in the Normal band. [1][E1]

Germany's 67% net energy import dependency underscores the significance of diplomatic engagement with Russia. [1][E4]

Key risks

Germany's net energy import dependency of 67% exposes it to potential supply disruptions. [E4]

Germany is linked to 130 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations, which could affect international relations. [E3]

Outlook

A Polymarket market asks if Friedrich Merz is out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026, priced Yes at 11% on Sep 28, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2027. [E6]

A Kalshi market asks who the next German federal election winner is, with AfD priced at 83% on Sep 28, 2026; it closes Mar 25, 2030. [E8]

Watch items

The outcome of the meeting between Russian and German foreign ministers remains to be seen. [1]

Whether the AfD's extremism deters other far-right parties from cooperation is an unresolved dynamic. [5]

World Monitor data cited

Automated summary of 2 cited reports and 5 World Monitor data points, generated .

Structural resilience snapshot

Rank#24
Overall score63.2
Dimension coverage77%
ConfidenceStandard

Germany resilience analysis

Germany ranks #24 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 63.2 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 66.3, with structural readiness next at 79.2. Live shock exposure is strongest at 79.2, while Recovery capacity is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 66.3. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -1 points. Dimension coverage is 77%, and the page labels confidence as standard.

Pillar profile

Six-domain profile

Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first

DimensionDomainScoreCoverageEvidence state
Liquid-reserve adequacyRecovery capacity19100%Fresh
Logistics and supply chainsInfrastructure3150%Fresh
Fiscal spaceRecovery capacity63100%Fresh
Border securitySocial and governance67100%Stale
Currency and external balanceEconomic capacity6885%Fresh
State continuityRecovery capacity71100%Stale
Social cohesionSocial and governance76100%Stale
Governance and institutionsSocial and governance77100%Fresh
Energy system resilienceEnergy security78100%Fresh
Food and water securityHealth, food and water7982%Fresh
Core infrastructureInfrastructure7970%Fresh
Information environmentSocial and governance8270%Stale
Financial-system exposureEconomic capacity8576%Fresh
Cyber and digital capacityInfrastructure86100%Fresh
Education capacitySocial and governance86100%Fresh
Macro-fiscal positionEconomic capacity87100%Fresh
Import concentrationRecovery capacity91100%Fresh
Health and public servicesHealth, food and water95100%Fresh
Trade policy resilienceEconomic capacity97100%Fresh
External-debt coverageRecovery capacity—30%Unmonitored
Fuel-stock bufferRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Sovereign fiscal bufferRecovery capacity—0%Not applicable

Comparison set

Nearest ranked peers: Netherlands (#23, 63.4), Latvia (#25, 62.8), Ireland (#22, 63.5), Lithuania (#26, 62.6). Comparisons in Europe: Netherlands (#23, 63.4), Ireland (#22, 63.5), Latvia (#25, 62.8), Lithuania (#26, 62.6), Portugal (#21, 63.9). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.

Tracked crisis context

Germany has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.

Reading limits

Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Health, food and water, 87.8. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.

Questions about Germany

What is Germany's Country Instability Index?

Germany's Country Instability Index is 36/100 (Normal), up 4 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Sep 28, 2026, 4:51 AM UTC.

What is Germany's resilience score?

Germany scores 63.2 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #24 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.

Which resilience pillars are weakest for Germany?

Recovery capacity is lowest at 66.3, followed by Structural readiness at 79.2. Their evidence coverage is 54% and 92%.

Is Germany's resilience score rising or falling?

The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -1 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the August 29, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect Germany are in the corrections log.

This 2026-08-29 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where World Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: World Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, August 29, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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