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Indonesia country risk and resilience

Indonesia country risk and resilience: ranked #96 of 170 in World Monitor's resilience index, with live instability, advisories, sanctions and security signals. The structural snapshot is dated and source-labelled; the live monitor loads separately.

Current signal

Indonesia instability monitor

Published partial pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score—No current score
24-hour comparison-window movementUnavailable
Travel advisory inputExercise Increased Caution
OFAC designations in feed25 designated entities
Live enhancement pending
Open Indonesia on the live map →

Recent developments in Indonesia

Country brief

What this means for Indonesia

The threat to critically-endangered orangutans from wildfires highlights environmental risks in Indonesia, which is a net energy exporter with a net energy import dependency of -90%. [1][E3]

Key risks

Indonesia's link to 25 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations poses a risk to its international financial dealings. [E2]

Outlook

A Polymarket market on Israel and Indonesia normalizing relations by December 31, 2026 is priced at 9% as of Sep 28, 2026, closing Jan 1, 2027. [E6]

Watch items

It is unresolved whether the plan to save Bali's lost fireflies will succeed. [5]

World Monitor data cited

  • E2 · US OFAC and Canada SEMA designations: 25 ·
  • E3 · Net energy import dependency: -90% ·
  • E6 · Polymarket prediction market: 9% ·

Automated summary of 2 cited reports and 3 World Monitor data points, generated .

Structural resilience snapshot

Rank#96
Overall score51.7
Dimension coverage81%
ConfidenceStandard

Indonesia resilience analysis

Indonesia ranks #96 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 51.7 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 58.8, with structural readiness next at 63.7. Live shock exposure is strongest at 71.2, while Recovery capacity is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 58.8. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -2.2 points. Dimension coverage is 81%, and the page labels confidence as standard.

Pillar profile

Six-domain profile

Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first

DimensionDomainScoreCoverageEvidence state
State continuityRecovery capacity35100%Stale
Education capacitySocial and governance39100%Fresh
Logistics and supply chainsInfrastructure4050%Fresh
Liquid-reserve adequacyRecovery capacity41100%Fresh
Governance and institutionsSocial and governance46100%Fresh
Health and public servicesHealth, food and water49100%Fresh
Fiscal spaceRecovery capacity55100%Fresh
Macro-fiscal positionEconomic capacity55100%Fresh
Information environmentSocial and governance5955%Stale
Social cohesionSocial and governance6392%Stale
Financial-system exposureEconomic capacity70100%Fresh
Import concentrationRecovery capacity75100%Fresh
Currency and external balanceEconomic capacity7685%Fresh
Energy system resilienceEnergy security7890%Fresh
Border securitySocial and governance79100%Stale
External-debt coverageRecovery capacity79100%Fresh
Core infrastructureInfrastructure7970%Fresh
Food and water securityHealth, food and water8182%Fresh
Trade policy resilienceEconomic capacity81100%Fresh
Cyber and digital capacityInfrastructure86100%Fresh
Fuel-stock bufferRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Sovereign fiscal bufferRecovery capacity—0%Not applicable

Comparison set

Nearest ranked peers: Dominican Republic (#95, 51.9), Maldives (#97, 51.7), Algeria (#94, 51.9), Papua New Guinea (#98, 51.6). Comparisons in East Asia and the Pacific: Papua New Guinea (#98, 51.6), Thailand (#91, 52.3), Vietnam (#90, 52.6), Laos (#100, 50.8), Cambodia (#105, 50.5). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.

Tracked crisis context

Indonesia has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.

Reading limits

Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Energy security, 78. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.

Questions about Indonesia

What is Indonesia's resilience score?

Indonesia scores 51.7 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #96 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.

Which resilience pillars are weakest for Indonesia?

Recovery capacity is lowest at 58.8, followed by Structural readiness at 63.7. Their evidence coverage is 63% and 93%.

Is Indonesia's resilience score rising or falling?

The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -2.2 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.

Related chokepoint trackers

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the August 29, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect Indonesia are in the corrections log.

This 2026-08-29 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where World Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: World Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, August 29, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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