Papua New Guinea resilience analysis
Papua New Guinea ranks #98 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 51.6 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 60.4, with live shock exposure next at 66.5. Recovery capacity is strongest at 67.4, while Health, food and water is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 46.3. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -1.5 points. Dimension coverage is 79%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Structural readiness: 60.4; coverage 90%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Live shock exposure: 66.5; coverage 78%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
- Recovery capacity: 67.4; coverage 63%; domains Recovery capacity.
Six-domain profile
- Health, food and water: 46.3; weight 13%; low Health and public services 8; high Food and water security 93.
- Social and governance: 55.1; weight 19%; low Education capacity 16; high Border security 78.
- Economic capacity: 66.3; weight 17%; low Currency and external balance 58; high Trade policy resilience 85.
- Recovery capacity: 67.4; weight 25%; low Liquid-reserve adequacy 35; high External-debt coverage 98.
- Energy security: 78; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 78.
- Infrastructure: 80.3; weight 15%; low Core infrastructure 38; high Logistics and supply chains 100.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 8 | 100% | Fresh |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 16 | 100% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 35 | 100% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 37 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 38 | 70% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 50 | 100% | Stale |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 58 | 85% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 58 | 92% | Stale |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 63 | 80% | Fresh |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 67 | 100% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 68 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 70 | 100% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 77 | 55% | Stale |
| Border security | Social and governance | 78 | 100% | Stale |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 78 | 70% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 85 | 100% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 93 | 82% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 98 | 100% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 100 | 50% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Maldives (#97, 51.7), Russia (#99, 51.5), Indonesia (#96, 51.7), Laos (#100, 50.8). Comparisons in East Asia and the Pacific: Indonesia (#96, 51.7), Thailand (#91, 52.3), Laos (#100, 50.8), Vietnam (#90, 52.6), Cambodia (#105, 50.5). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
Papua New Guinea has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.
Reading limits
Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Infrastructure, 80.3. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Papua New Guinea
What is Papua New Guinea's resilience score?
Papua New Guinea scores 51.6 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #98 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Papua New Guinea?
Structural readiness is lowest at 60.4, followed by Live shock exposure at 66.5. Their evidence coverage is 90% and 78%.
Is Papua New Guinea's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -1.5 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.