Nigeria resilience analysis
Nigeria ranks #152 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 39.9 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 51.2, with live shock exposure next at 52.5. Recovery capacity is strongest at 55.6, while Health, food and water is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 28. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.1 points. Dimension coverage is 83%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Structural readiness: 51.2; coverage 91%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Live shock exposure: 52.5; coverage 97%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
- Recovery capacity: 55.6; coverage 58%; domains Recovery capacity.
Six-domain profile
- Health, food and water: 28; weight 13%; low Health and public services 16; high Food and water security 40.
- Social and governance: 47; weight 19%; low Governance and institutions 28; high Information environment 66.
- Recovery capacity: 55.6; weight 25%; low State continuity 15; high Import concentration 82.
- Economic capacity: 55.9; weight 17%; low Macro-fiscal position 45; high Currency and external balance 66.
- Infrastructure: 60.3; weight 15%; low Core infrastructure 36; high Cyber and digital capacity 95.
- Energy security: 73; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 73.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 15 | 100% | Stale |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 16 | 100% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 28 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 36 | 100% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 40 | 100% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 40 | 100% | Stale |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 42 | 100% | Fresh |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 45 | 80% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 46 | 65% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 50 | 100% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 51 | 100% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 56 | 100% | Fresh |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 61 | 100% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 65 | 100% | Stale |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 66 | 85% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 66 | 55% | Stale |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 73 | 90% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 76 | 100% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 82 | 100% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 95 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Guinea-Bissau (#151, 40.1), Benin (#153, 39.5), Haiti (#150, 40.5), Mozambique (#154, 39.2). Comparisons in sub-Saharan Africa: Guinea-Bissau (#151, 40.1), Benin (#153, 39.5), Mozambique (#154, 39.2), Burundi (#149, 40.7), Cameroon (#155, 39). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
The crisis registry links Nigeria to Nigeria security crisis. Tracker scopes are fixed and do not cover every crisis.
Reading limits
Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Energy security, 73. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Nigeria
What is Nigeria's resilience score?
Nigeria scores 39.9 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #152 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Nigeria?
Structural readiness is lowest at 51.2, followed by Live shock exposure at 52.5. Their evidence coverage is 91% and 97%.
Is Nigeria's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.1 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.