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Poland Country Instability Index

Poland's Country Instability Index is 32/100 · Normal, up 4 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of .

CII measures current stress. World Monitor's separate Country Resilience Index measures Poland's longer-term structural capacity.

Official name: Republic of Poland. Wikidata identity record.

Current signal

Poland instability monitor

Published pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score32Normal
24-hour comparison-window movementRising +4
Travel advisory inputExercise Normal Precautions
OFAC designations in feed13 designated entities
Open Poland on the live map →

Recent developments in Poland

Poland's Country Instability Index is 32/100 · Normal, up 4 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of . Reporting captured in the same window is listed below.

Country brief

What this means for Poland

Poland's military buildup, including a Patriot missile factory and a US base, occurs despite a Country Instability Index score of 33 of 100, indicating the country remains in the Normal band. [1][2][E1]

Key risks

Poland's net energy import dependency of 46% exposes it to supply disruptions and price volatility, which could be exacerbated by increased military spending. [E4]

Poland is linked to 13 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations, creating potential compliance and reputational risks for its defense and energy sectors. [E3]

Watch items

It remains to be seen whether Poland's rapid military spending will help or damage its economic growth story. [3]

World Monitor data cited

  • E1 · Country Instability Index: 33 of 100 (Normal) ·
  • E3 · US OFAC and Canada SEMA designations: 13 ·
  • E4 · Net energy import dependency: 46% ·

Automated summary of 3 cited reports and 3 World Monitor data points, generated .

Structural resilience snapshot

Rank#36
Overall score61.2
Dimension coverage76%
ConfidenceStandard

Poland resilience analysis

Poland ranks #36 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 61.2 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 66.2, with live shock exposure next at 74. Structural readiness is strongest at 77.9, while Recovery capacity is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 66.2. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.1 points. Dimension coverage is 76%, and the page labels confidence as standard.

Pillar profile

Six-domain profile

Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first

DimensionDomainScoreCoverageEvidence state
Logistics and supply chainsInfrastructure3150%Fresh
Liquid-reserve adequacyRecovery capacity44100%Fresh
Fiscal spaceRecovery capacity55100%Fresh
Governance and institutionsSocial and governance63100%Fresh
Border securitySocial and governance70100%Stale
Energy system resilienceEnergy security71100%Fresh
Social cohesionSocial and governance7292%Stale
State continuityRecovery capacity72100%Stale
Currency and external balanceEconomic capacity7785%Fresh
Financial-system exposureEconomic capacity7965%Fresh
Health and public servicesHealth, food and water79100%Fresh
Core infrastructureInfrastructure7970%Fresh
Food and water securityHealth, food and water8082%Fresh
Macro-fiscal positionEconomic capacity81100%Fresh
Import concentrationRecovery capacity85100%Fresh
Cyber and digital capacityInfrastructure86100%Fresh
Information environmentSocial and governance8755%Stale
Education capacitySocial and governance93100%Fresh
Trade policy resilienceEconomic capacity97100%Fresh
External-debt coverageRecovery capacity—30%Unmonitored
Fuel-stock bufferRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Sovereign fiscal bufferRecovery capacity—0%Not applicable

Comparison set

Nearest ranked peers: Barbados (#35, 61.2), Hungary (#37, 61.2), Slovakia (#34, 61.6), Croatia (#38, 60.6). Comparisons in Europe: Hungary (#37, 61.2), Slovakia (#34, 61.6), United Kingdom (#33, 61.6), Serbia (#31, 61.7), Croatia (#38, 60.6). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.

Tracked crisis context

Poland has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.

Reading limits

Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Economic capacity, 82.5. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.

Questions about Poland

What is Poland's Country Instability Index?

Poland's Country Instability Index is 32/100 (Normal), up 4 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Sep 28, 2026, 4:51 AM UTC.

What is Poland's resilience score?

Poland scores 61.2 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #36 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.

Which resilience pillars are weakest for Poland?

Recovery capacity is lowest at 66.2, followed by Live shock exposure at 74. Their evidence coverage is 54% and 88%.

Is Poland's resilience score rising or falling?

The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.1 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the August 29, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect Poland are in the corrections log.

This 2026-08-29 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where World Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: World Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, August 29, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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