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Serbia country risk and resilience

Serbia country risk and resilience: ranked #31 of 170 in World Monitor's Country Resilience Index, with live instability, travel-advisory and sanctions signals. The structural snapshot is dated and source-labelled; the live monitor loads separately.

Current signal

Serbia instability monitor

Published partial pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score—No current score
24-hour comparison-window movementUnavailable
Travel advisory inputExercise Increased Caution
OFAC designations in feed51 designated entities
Live enhancement pending
Open Serbia on the live map →

Recent developments in Serbia

Country brief

What this means for Serbia

Vucic's resignation and potential shift to prime minister occurs while Serbia is linked to 51 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations. [1][E2]

Key risks

Serbia's net energy import dependency of 41% could pose a risk to economic stability during the political transition. [E3]

Outlook

A Polymarket market on whether Aleksandar Vučić will be the next Prime Minister of Serbia is priced Yes at 68% as of Sep 28, 2026, closing Jun 30, 2028. [E5]

A Kalshi market on whether Aleksandar Vučić will be Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election is priced Yes at 32% as of Sep 28, 2026, closing Dec 31, 2028. [E6]

Watch items

The outcome of the snap election following Vucic's resignation remains unresolved. [1][2]

World Monitor data cited

Automated summary of 2 cited reports and 4 World Monitor data points, generated .

Structural resilience snapshot

Rank#31
Overall score61.7
Dimension coverage79%
ConfidenceStandard

Serbia resilience analysis

Serbia ranks #31 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 61.7 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 70.2, with live shock exposure next at 72.4. Recovery capacity is strongest at 76.1, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 64.7. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.7 points. Dimension coverage is 79%, and the page labels confidence as standard.

Pillar profile

Six-domain profile

Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first

DimensionDomainScoreCoverageEvidence state
Logistics and supply chainsInfrastructure3150%Fresh
Governance and institutionsSocial and governance46100%Fresh
Liquid-reserve adequacyRecovery capacity47100%Fresh
State continuityRecovery capacity58100%Stale
Health and public servicesHealth, food and water59100%Fresh
Social cohesionSocial and governance5992%Stale
Energy system resilienceEnergy security6690%Fresh
Fiscal spaceRecovery capacity73100%Fresh
Information environmentSocial and governance7355%Stale
Currency and external balanceEconomic capacity7685%Fresh
Trade policy resilienceEconomic capacity7664%Fresh
Border securitySocial and governance77100%Stale
Financial-system exposureEconomic capacity77100%Fresh
Macro-fiscal positionEconomic capacity7795%Fresh
Education capacitySocial and governance79100%Fresh
Core infrastructureInfrastructure7970%Fresh
Import concentrationRecovery capacity89100%Fresh
Food and water securityHealth, food and water9082%Fresh
External-debt coverageRecovery capacity99100%Fresh
Cyber and digital capacityInfrastructure100100%Fresh
Fuel-stock bufferRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Sovereign fiscal bufferRecovery capacity—0%Not applicable

Comparison set

Nearest ranked peers: Qatar (#30, 61.7), Saudi Arabia (#32, 61.6), Cyprus (#29, 61.9), United Kingdom (#33, 61.6). Comparisons in Europe: Slovakia (#34, 61.6), United Kingdom (#33, 61.6), Cyprus (#29, 61.9), Hungary (#37, 61.2), Poland (#36, 61.2). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.

Tracked crisis context

Serbia has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.

Reading limits

Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Infrastructure, 77.6. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.

Questions about Serbia

What is Serbia's resilience score?

Serbia scores 61.7 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #31 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.

Which resilience pillars are weakest for Serbia?

Structural readiness is lowest at 70.2, followed by Live shock exposure at 72.4. Their evidence coverage is 88% and 85%.

Is Serbia's resilience score rising or falling?

The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.7 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the August 29, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect Serbia are in the corrections log.

This 2026-08-29 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where World Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: World Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, August 29, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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