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Venezuela Country Instability Index

Venezuela's Country Instability Index is 50/100 · Normal, unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of .

CII measures current stress. World Monitor's separate Country Resilience Index measures Venezuela's longer-term structural capacity.

Official name: Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela. Wikidata identity record.

Current signal

Venezuela instability monitor

Published pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score50Normal
24-hour comparison-window movementUnchanged
Travel advisory inputReconsider Travel
OFAC designations in feed252 designated entities
Open Venezuela on the live map →

Recent developments in Venezuela

Venezuela's Country Instability Index is 50/100 · Normal, unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of . Reporting captured in the same window is listed below.

Country brief

What this means for Venezuela

The release of political prisoners amid growing election calls occurs while Venezuela has a Country Instability Index score of 50 of 100, in the Normal band. [5][E1]

Outlook

A Polymarket market related to Venezuela, "Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?", priced Yes at 53% on Sep 28, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2027. [E7]

A Kalshi market related to Venezuela, "Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?", priced Yes at 23% on Sep 28, 2026; it closes Dec 31, 2026. [E5]

Watch items

It is unresolved whether the opposition leader for whose return Venezuelans are rallying will actually return. [1][2]

It is unresolved whether presidential elections will be held in Venezuela. [2]

World Monitor data cited

Automated summary of 3 cited reports and 3 World Monitor data points, generated .

Structural resilience snapshot

Rank#165
Overall score33.7
Dimension coverage65%
ConfidenceStandard

Venezuela resilience analysis

Venezuela ranks #165 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 33.7 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 33.9, with structural readiness next at 39.4. Live shock exposure is strongest at 74.5, while Economic capacity is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 26.3. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.2 points. Dimension coverage is 65%, and the page labels confidence as standard.

Pillar profile

Six-domain profile

Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first

DimensionDomainScoreCoverageEvidence state
Currency and external balanceEconomic capacity085%Fresh
Governance and institutionsSocial and governance14100%Fresh
Financial-system exposureEconomic capacity1565%Fresh
Fiscal spaceRecovery capacity2365%Fresh
Macro-fiscal positionEconomic capacity2980%Fresh
State continuityRecovery capacity35100%Stale
Health and public servicesHealth, food and water42100%Fresh
Social cohesionSocial and governance4392%Stale
Information environmentSocial and governance6370%Stale
Logistics and supply chainsInfrastructure6550%Fresh
Education capacitySocial and governance6680%Fresh
Trade policy resilienceEconomic capacity74100%Fresh
Border securitySocial and governance78100%Stale
Core infrastructureInfrastructure7970%Fresh
Energy system resilienceEnergy security8190%Fresh
Cyber and digital capacityInfrastructure89100%Fresh
Food and water securityHealth, food and water9082%Fresh
External-debt coverageRecovery capacity—30%Unmonitored
Fuel-stock bufferRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Import concentrationRecovery capacity—30%Unmonitored
Liquid-reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—30%Unmonitored
Reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Sovereign fiscal bufferRecovery capacity—0%Not applicable

Comparison set

Nearest ranked peers: Niger (#164, 33.8), Mali (#166, 32), Afghanistan (#163, 34), Yemen (#167, 29.6). Comparisons in Latin America and the Caribbean: Haiti (#150, 40.5), Bolivia (#124, 46), Cuba, Bahamas (#115, 48.2), Honduras (#108, 49.7). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.

Tracked crisis context

Venezuela has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.

Reading limits

Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Energy security, 81. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.

Questions about Venezuela

What is Venezuela's Country Instability Index?

Venezuela's Country Instability Index is 50/100 (Normal), unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Sep 28, 2026, 4:51 AM UTC.

What is Venezuela's resilience score?

Venezuela scores 33.7 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #165 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.

Which resilience pillars are weakest for Venezuela?

Recovery capacity is lowest at 33.9, followed by Structural readiness at 39.4. Their evidence coverage is 32% and 85%.

Is Venezuela's resilience score rising or falling?

The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.2 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the August 29, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect Venezuela are in the corrections log.

This 2026-08-29 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where World Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: World Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, August 29, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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