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Belarus country risk and resilience

Belarus country risk and resilience: ranked #72 of 170 in World Monitor's resilience index, with instability, travel advisories, sanctions and security signals. The structural snapshot is dated and source-labelled; the live monitor loads separately.

Official name: Republic of Belarus. Wikidata identity record.

Current signal

Belarus instability monitor

Published partial pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score—No current score
24-hour comparison-window movementUnavailable
Travel advisory inputDo Not Travel
OFAC designations in feed275 designated entities
Live enhancement pending
Open Belarus on the live map →

Recent developments in Belarus

Country brief

What this means for Belarus

Lithuania's decision to let Belarusians apply for residence permits in Armenia and Georgia reflects regional isolation, while Belarus's net energy import dependency of 0% insulates it from energy supply pressures. [2][E3]

Key risks

The most severe government travel advisory for Belarus is Do Not Travel, indicating high risk for foreign nationals and potential further isolation. [E1]

Belarus's 275 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations pose ongoing economic and diplomatic risks. [E2]

Watch items

The outcome of Belarus's stated readiness to facilitate Ukraine talks remains unresolved. [4]

World Monitor data cited

  • E1 · Travel advisory: Do Not Travel ·
  • E2 · US OFAC and Canada SEMA designations: 275 ·
  • E3 · Net energy import dependency: 0% ·

Automated summary of 2 cited reports and 3 World Monitor data points, generated .

Structural resilience snapshot

Rank#72
Overall score55.2
Dimension coverage77%
ConfidenceStandard

Belarus resilience analysis

Belarus ranks #72 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 55.2 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 60.5, with structural readiness next at 62.4. Live shock exposure is strongest at 81.9, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 59.4. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at +0.6 points. Dimension coverage is 77%, and the page labels confidence as standard.

Pillar profile

Six-domain profile

Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first

DimensionDomainScoreCoverageEvidence state
Financial-system exposureEconomic capacity15100%Fresh
Liquid-reserve adequacyRecovery capacity19100%Fresh
Governance and institutionsSocial and governance30100%Fresh
Logistics and supply chainsInfrastructure3150%Fresh
Information environmentSocial and governance5255%Stale
State continuityRecovery capacity53100%Stale
Social cohesionSocial and governance5592%Stale
Currency and external balanceEconomic capacity6385%Fresh
External-debt coverageRecovery capacity66100%Fresh
Border securitySocial and governance77100%Stale
Core infrastructureInfrastructure7970%Fresh
Health and public servicesHealth, food and water80100%Fresh
Energy system resilienceEnergy security8390%Fresh
Macro-fiscal positionEconomic capacity8495%Fresh
Fiscal spaceRecovery capacity85100%Fresh
Trade policy resilienceEconomic capacity85100%Fresh
Food and water securityHealth, food and water9182%Fresh
Education capacitySocial and governance99100%Fresh
Cyber and digital capacityInfrastructure100100%Fresh
Fuel-stock bufferRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Import concentrationRecovery capacity—30%Unmonitored
Reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Sovereign fiscal bufferRecovery capacity—0%Not applicable

Comparison set

Nearest ranked peers: Moldova (#71, 55.3), Timor-Leste (#73, 55.2), China (#70, 55.3), Jamaica (#74, 55.2). Comparisons in Europe: Moldova (#71, 55.3), Bosnia and Herzegovina (#65, 56.2), Armenia (#79, 54.1), North Macedonia (#84, 53.9), Georgia (#59, 56.8). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.

Tracked crisis context

Belarus has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.

Reading limits

Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Health, food and water, 85. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.

Questions about Belarus

What is Belarus's resilience score?

Belarus scores 55.2 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #72 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.

Which resilience pillars are weakest for Belarus?

Recovery capacity is lowest at 60.5, followed by Structural readiness at 62.4. Their evidence coverage is 54% and 92%.

Is Belarus's resilience score rising or falling?

The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of +0.6 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the August 29, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect Belarus are in the corrections log.

This 2026-08-29 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where World Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: World Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, August 29, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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