Timor-Leste resilience analysis
Timor-Leste ranks #73 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 55.2 out of 100. Live shock exposure is the weakest pillar at 61.1, with recovery capacity next at 69. Structural readiness is strongest at 74.7, while Health, food and water is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 30.5. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at +2.4 points. Dimension coverage is 81%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Live shock exposure: 61.1; coverage 81%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
- Recovery capacity: 69; coverage 75%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Structural readiness: 74.7; coverage 90%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
Six-domain profile
- Health, food and water: 30.5; weight 13%; low Health and public services 19; high Food and water security 42.
- Energy security: 69; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 69.
- Recovery capacity: 69; weight 25%; low Fiscal space 41; high Sovereign fiscal buffer 100.
- Social and governance: 71.1; weight 19%; low Governance and institutions 44; high Border security 100.
- Economic capacity: 78.5; weight 17%; low Financial-system exposure 70; high Trade policy resilience 100.
- Infrastructure: 91.7; weight 15%; low Core infrastructure 74; high Logistics and supply chains 100.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 19 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 41 | 100% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 42 | 100% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 44 | 100% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 46 | 100% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 63 | 100% | Stale |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 68 | 100% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 68 | 100% | Fresh |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 69 | 70% | Fresh |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 70 | 100% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 71 | 55% | Stale |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 71 | 80% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 71 | 92% | Stale |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 74 | 70% | Fresh |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 78 | 85% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 100 | 100% | Stale |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 100 | 50% | Fresh |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Belarus (#72, 55.2), Jamaica (#74, 55.2), Moldova (#71, 55.3), Philippines (#75, 54.6). Comparisons in East Asia and the Pacific: China (#70, 55.3), Philippines (#75, 54.6), Fiji (#66, 55.9), Hong Kong (#78, 54.2), Vanuatu (#81, 54.1). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
Timor-Leste has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.
Reading limits
Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Infrastructure, 91.7. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Timor-Leste
What is Timor-Leste's resilience score?
Timor-Leste scores 55.2 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #73 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Timor-Leste?
Live shock exposure is lowest at 61.1, followed by Recovery capacity at 69. Their evidence coverage is 81% and 75%.
Is Timor-Leste's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of +2.4 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.