Moldova resilience analysis
Moldova ranks #71 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 55.3 out of 100. Live shock exposure is the weakest pillar at 65.2, with recovery capacity next at 67.6. Structural readiness is strongest at 68, while Energy security is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 45. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.7 points. Dimension coverage is 81%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Live shock exposure: 65.2; coverage 85%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
- Recovery capacity: 67.6; coverage 63%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Structural readiness: 68; coverage 92%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
Six-domain profile
- Energy security: 45; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 45.
- Social and governance: 66.4; weight 19%; low Governance and institutions 49; high Education capacity 80.
- Recovery capacity: 67.6; weight 25%; low Liquid-reserve adequacy 40; high Import concentration 81.
- Economic capacity: 69.6; weight 17%; low Financial-system exposure 48; high Trade policy resilience 98.
- Health, food and water: 72.6; weight 13%; low Health and public services 60; high Food and water security 88.
- Infrastructure: 75.4; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 31; high Cyber and digital capacity 95.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 31 | 50% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 40 | 100% | Fresh |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 45 | 90% | Fresh |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 48 | 100% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 49 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 59 | 100% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 60 | 100% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 63 | 100% | Stale |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 64 | 95% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 65 | 92% | Stale |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 72 | 85% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 74 | 100% | Stale |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 74 | 55% | Stale |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 79 | 70% | Fresh |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 80 | 100% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 81 | 100% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 81 | 100% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 88 | 82% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 95 | 100% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 98 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: China (#70, 55.3), Belarus (#72, 55.2), Suriname (#69, 55.6), Timor-Leste (#73, 55.2). Comparisons in Europe: Belarus (#72, 55.2), Bosnia and Herzegovina (#65, 56.2), Armenia (#79, 54.1), North Macedonia (#84, 53.9), Georgia (#59, 56.8). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
Moldova has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.
Reading limits
Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Infrastructure, 75.4. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Moldova
What is Moldova's resilience score?
Moldova scores 55.3 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #71 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Moldova?
Live shock exposure is lowest at 65.2, followed by Recovery capacity at 67.6. Their evidence coverage is 85% and 63%.
Is Moldova's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.7 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.