Botswana resilience analysis
Botswana ranks #129 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 44.6 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 51.1, with live shock exposure next at 57.2. Structural readiness is strongest at 65.6, while Infrastructure is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 49.7. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -1.4 points. Dimension coverage is 84%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Recovery capacity: 51.1; coverage 63%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Live shock exposure: 57.2; coverage 94%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
- Structural readiness: 65.6; coverage 90%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
Six-domain profile
- Infrastructure: 49.7; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 16; high Cyber and digital capacity 93.
- Recovery capacity: 51.1; weight 25%; low Import concentration 13; high External-debt coverage 98.
- Energy security: 58; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 58.
- Economic capacity: 62.3; weight 17%; low Macro-fiscal position 48; high Trade policy resilience 79.
- Health, food and water: 66.2; weight 13%; low Health and public services 45; high Food and water security 92.
- Social and governance: 68.6; weight 19%; low Education capacity 45; high Border security 85.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 13 | 100% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 16 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 31 | 100% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 34 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 40 | 100% | Fresh |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 45 | 100% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 45 | 100% | Fresh |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 48 | 80% | Fresh |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 58 | 85% | Fresh |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 58 | 90% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 60 | 100% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 68 | 92% | Stale |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 71 | 100% | Stale |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 76 | 100% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 77 | 55% | Stale |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 79 | 100% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 85 | 100% | Stale |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 92 | 82% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 93 | 100% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 98 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Ukraine (#128, 44.9), Rwanda (#130, 44.4), Lebanon (#127, 45), Sierra Leone (#131, 44.2). Comparisons in sub-Saharan Africa: Rwanda (#130, 44.4), Sierra Leone (#131, 44.2), Côte d’Ivoire (#134, 43.5), Republic of the Congo (#135, 43.3), Madagascar (#136, 43). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
Botswana has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.
Reading limits
Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Social and governance, 68.6. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Botswana
What is Botswana's resilience score?
Botswana scores 44.6 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #129 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Botswana?
Recovery capacity is lowest at 51.1, followed by Live shock exposure at 57.2. Their evidence coverage is 63% and 94%.
Is Botswana's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -1.4 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.