Lebanon resilience analysis
Lebanon ranks #127 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 45 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 47, with recovery capacity next at 61.9. Live shock exposure is strongest at 76.7, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 41.2. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at +1.8 points. Dimension coverage is 77%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Structural readiness: 47; coverage 90%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Recovery capacity: 61.9; coverage 58%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Live shock exposure: 76.7; coverage 85%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
Six-domain profile
- Social and governance: 41.2; weight 19%; low Governance and institutions 28; high Information environment 66.
- Economic capacity: 53.3; weight 17%; low Financial-system exposure 39; high Trade policy resilience 100.
- Health, food and water: 56.9; weight 13%; low Health and public services 47; high Food and water security 69.
- Recovery capacity: 61.9; weight 25%; low State continuity 20; high Liquid-reserve adequacy 100.
- Energy security: 82; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 82.
- Infrastructure: 93.3; weight 15%; low Core infrastructure 79; high Logistics and supply chains 100.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 20 | 100% | Stale |
| Border security | Social and governance | 28 | 100% | Stale |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 28 | 100% | Fresh |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 39 | 100% | Fresh |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 42 | 80% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 43 | 65% | Fresh |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 45 | 85% | Fresh |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 46 | 80% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 47 | 100% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 49 | 92% | Stale |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 66 | 70% | Stale |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 69 | 82% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 71 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 79 | 70% | Fresh |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 82 | 90% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 88 | 100% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 100 | 50% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Libya (#126, 45), Ukraine (#128, 44.9), Turkey (#125, 45.1), Botswana (#129, 44.6). Comparisons in the Middle East and North Africa: Libya (#126, 45), Turkey (#125, 45.1), Bahrain (#122, 46.3), Djibouti (#132, 43.6), Tunisia (#133, 43.5). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
The crisis registry links Lebanon to Lebanon–Israel escalation. Tracker scopes are fixed and do not cover every crisis.
Reading limits
Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Infrastructure, 93.3. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Lebanon
What is Lebanon's Country Instability Index?
Lebanon's Country Instability Index is 60/100 (Elevated), unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Sep 28, 2026, 4:51 AM UTC.
What is Lebanon's resilience score?
Lebanon scores 45 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #127 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Lebanon?
Structural readiness is lowest at 47, followed by Recovery capacity at 61.9. Their evidence coverage is 90% and 58%.
Is Lebanon's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of +1.8 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.