Rwanda resilience analysis
Rwanda ranks #130 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 44.4 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 50.3, with live shock exposure next at 61.9. Recovery capacity is strongest at 69.2, while Economic capacity is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 48.4. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.9 points. Dimension coverage is 84%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Structural readiness: 50.3; coverage 90%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Live shock exposure: 61.9; coverage 94%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
- Recovery capacity: 69.2; coverage 63%; domains Recovery capacity.
Six-domain profile
- Economic capacity: 48.4; weight 17%; low Trade policy resilience 18; high Financial-system exposure 68.
- Social and governance: 52; weight 19%; low Education capacity 16; high Border security 74.
- Infrastructure: 52.3; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 16; high Cyber and digital capacity 100.
- Health, food and water: 63; weight 13%; low Health and public services 45; high Food and water security 85.
- Recovery capacity: 69.2; weight 25%; low Liquid-reserve adequacy 29; high External-debt coverage 87.
- Energy security: 75; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 75.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 16 | 100% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 16 | 100% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 18 | 100% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 29 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 41 | 100% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 45 | 100% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 45 | 55% | Stale |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 47 | 80% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 52 | 100% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 52 | 92% | Stale |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 56 | 85% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 61 | 100% | Stale |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 66 | 100% | Fresh |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 68 | 100% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 74 | 100% | Stale |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 75 | 90% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 83 | 100% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 85 | 82% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 87 | 100% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Botswana (#129, 44.6), Sierra Leone (#131, 44.2), Ukraine (#128, 44.9), Djibouti (#132, 43.6). Comparisons in sub-Saharan Africa: Sierra Leone (#131, 44.2), Botswana (#129, 44.6), Côte d’Ivoire (#134, 43.5), Republic of the Congo (#135, 43.3), Madagascar (#136, 43). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
Rwanda has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.
Reading limits
Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Energy security, 75. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Rwanda
What is Rwanda's resilience score?
Rwanda scores 44.4 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #130 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Rwanda?
Structural readiness is lowest at 50.3, followed by Live shock exposure at 61.9. Their evidence coverage is 90% and 94%.
Is Rwanda's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.9 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.