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France Country Instability Index

France's Country Instability Index is 32/100 · Normal, up 1 point over a 24-hour comparison window, as of .

CII measures current stress. World Monitor's separate Country Resilience Index measures France's longer-term structural capacity.

Current signal

France instability monitor

Published pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score32Normal
24-hour comparison-window movementRising +1
Travel advisory inputExercise Increased Caution
OFAC designations in feed44 designated entities
Open France on the live map →

Recent developments in France

France's Country Instability Index is 32/100 · Normal, up 1 point over a 24-hour comparison window, as of . Reporting captured in the same window is listed below.

Country brief

Key risks

France's net energy import dependency of 42% exposes it to supply disruptions at the Dover Strait shipping chokepoint. [E4][E5]

Outlook

A Polymarket market related to France, "Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?", is priced Yes at 27% on Sep 28, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2027. [E6]

A Polymarket market related to France, "Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?", is priced Yes at 71% on Sep 28, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2027. [E7]

Watch items

Whether France's presidentialism crisis escalates further. [5]

World Monitor data cited

Automated summary of 1 cited report and 4 World Monitor data points, generated .

Structural resilience snapshot

Rank#27
Overall score62.5
Dimension coverage77%
ConfidenceStandard

France resilience analysis

France ranks #27 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 62.5 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 65.1, with structural readiness next at 74.9. Live shock exposure is strongest at 84.3, while Recovery capacity is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 65.1. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.8 points. Dimension coverage is 77%, and the page labels confidence as standard.

Pillar profile

Six-domain profile

Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first

DimensionDomainScoreCoverageEvidence state
Liquid-reserve adequacyRecovery capacity22100%Fresh
Logistics and supply chainsInfrastructure3150%Fresh
Fiscal spaceRecovery capacity54100%Fresh
Social cohesionSocial and governance6492%Stale
Governance and institutionsSocial and governance68100%Fresh
Currency and external balanceEconomic capacity6985%Fresh
Border securitySocial and governance70100%Stale
Information environmentSocial and governance7370%Stale
Financial-system exposureEconomic capacity7676%Fresh
State continuityRecovery capacity76100%Stale
Core infrastructureInfrastructure7970%Fresh
Education capacitySocial and governance83100%Fresh
Macro-fiscal positionEconomic capacity83100%Fresh
Food and water securityHealth, food and water8482%Fresh
Cyber and digital capacityInfrastructure86100%Fresh
Import concentrationRecovery capacity89100%Fresh
Health and public servicesHealth, food and water90100%Fresh
Energy system resilienceEnergy security94100%Fresh
Trade policy resilienceEconomic capacity97100%Fresh
External-debt coverageRecovery capacity—30%Unmonitored
Fuel-stock bufferRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Sovereign fiscal bufferRecovery capacity—0%Not applicable

Comparison set

Nearest ranked peers: Lithuania (#26, 62.6), Montenegro (#28, 62.3), Latvia (#25, 62.8), Cyprus (#29, 61.9). Comparisons in Europe: Lithuania (#26, 62.6), Montenegro (#28, 62.3), Latvia (#25, 62.8), Cyprus (#29, 61.9), Germany (#24, 63.2). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.

Tracked crisis context

France has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.

Reading limits

Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Energy security, 94. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.

Questions about France

What is France's Country Instability Index?

France's Country Instability Index is 32/100 (Normal), up 1 point over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Sep 28, 2026, 4:51 AM UTC.

What is France's resilience score?

France scores 62.5 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #27 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.

Which resilience pillars are weakest for France?

Recovery capacity is lowest at 65.1, followed by Structural readiness at 74.9. Their evidence coverage is 54% and 91%.

Is France's resilience score rising or falling?

The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.8 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.

Related chokepoint trackers

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the August 29, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect France are in the corrections log.

This 2026-08-29 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where World Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: World Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, August 29, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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