Myanmar resilience analysis
Myanmar ranks #140 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 42.2 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 45.1, with recovery capacity next at 55.6. Live shock exposure is strongest at 74.8, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 44.8. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.3 points. Dimension coverage is 74%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Structural readiness: 45.1; coverage 88%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Recovery capacity: 55.6; coverage 49%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Live shock exposure: 74.8; coverage 85%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
Six-domain profile
- Social and governance: 44.8; weight 19%; low Governance and institutions 16; high Border security 87.
- Economic capacity: 45.4; weight 17%; low Financial-system exposure 15; high Trade policy resilience 68.
- Recovery capacity: 55.6; weight 25%; low State continuity 9; high External-debt coverage 100.
- Health, food and water: 58.1; weight 13%; low Health and public services 32; high Food and water security 90.
- Infrastructure: 83.5; weight 15%; low Core infrastructure 64; high Logistics and supply chains 100.
- Energy security: 85; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 85.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 9 | 100% | Stale |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 15 | 100% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 16 | 100% | Fresh |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 24 | 80% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 32 | 100% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 33 | 92% | Stale |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 40 | 85% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 50 | 65% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 55 | 55% | Stale |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 56 | 80% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 62 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 64 | 70% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 68 | 100% | Fresh |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 85 | 90% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 87 | 100% | Stale |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 89 | 100% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 90 | 82% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 100 | 50% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 30% | Unmonitored |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Senegal (#139, 42.5), Tanzania (#141, 42.1), Togo (#138, 42.6), Malawi (#142, 42). Comparisons in East Asia and the Pacific: North Korea, Cambodia (#105, 50.5), Laos (#100, 50.8), Papua New Guinea (#98, 51.6), Indonesia (#96, 51.7). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
The crisis registry links Myanmar to Myanmar civil war. Tracker scopes are fixed and do not cover every crisis.
Reading limits
Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Energy security, 85. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Myanmar
What is Myanmar's Country Instability Index?
Myanmar's Country Instability Index is 64/100 (Elevated), unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Sep 28, 2026, 4:51 AM UTC.
What is Myanmar's resilience score?
Myanmar scores 42.2 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #140 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Myanmar?
Structural readiness is lowest at 45.1, followed by Recovery capacity at 55.6. Their evidence coverage is 88% and 49%.
Is Myanmar's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.3 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.