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Russia Country Instability Index

Russia's Country Instability Index is 76/100 · High, unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of .

CII measures current stress. World Monitor's separate Country Resilience Index measures Russia's longer-term structural capacity.

Current signal

Russia instability monitor

Published pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score76High
24-hour comparison-window movementUnchanged
Travel advisory inputDo Not Travel
OFAC designations in feed5,938 designated entities
Open Russia on the live map →

Recent developments in Russia

Russia's Country Instability Index is 76/100 · High, unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of . Reporting captured in the same window is listed below.

Country brief

What this means for Russia

The meeting between Russian and German foreign ministers occurs despite Russia having a Country Instability Index score of 76 of 100, in the High band. [1][E1]

Ukraine's strike on a Russian defense plant underscores the impact of the 5,938 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations linked to Russia. [4][E3]

Key risks

The most severe government travel advisory for Russia is Do Not Travel, indicating high risk for travelers. [E2]

The Kerch Strait is a shipping chokepoint World Monitor tracks for Russia, posing a risk to maritime transit. [E5]

Outlook

A Polymarket market on Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026 is priced Yes at 26% and closes Oct 15, 2026. [E6]

A Polymarket market on the Bank of Russia making no change to the key rate after the October Meeting is priced Yes at 79% and closes Oct 24, 2026. [E7]

Watch items

Whether the Russian state news agency's deleted column calling for a nuclear strike on Lithuania signals a shift in official rhetoric. [2]

Whether the Polymarket market on Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026 resolves at its current 26% Yes price. [E6]

World Monitor data cited

Automated summary of 3 cited reports and 6 World Monitor data points, generated .

Structural resilience snapshot

Rank#99
Overall score51.5
Dimension coverage78%
ConfidenceStandard

Russia resilience analysis

Russia ranks #99 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 51.5 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 55, with recovery capacity next at 68.3. Live shock exposure is strongest at 78.4, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 52.8. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -3.5 points. Dimension coverage is 78%, and the page labels confidence as standard.

Pillar profile

Six-domain profile

Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first

DimensionDomainScoreCoverageEvidence state
Financial-system exposureEconomic capacity15100%Fresh
State continuityRecovery capacity21100%Stale
Governance and institutionsSocial and governance31100%Fresh
Social cohesionSocial and governance31100%Stale
Information environmentSocial and governance5170%Stale
Logistics and supply chainsInfrastructure5350%Fresh
Currency and external balanceEconomic capacity5685%Fresh
Cyber and digital capacityInfrastructure66100%Fresh
Macro-fiscal positionEconomic capacity66100%Fresh
Fiscal spaceRecovery capacity68100%Fresh
Border securitySocial and governance76100%Stale
Core infrastructureInfrastructure7970%Fresh
Energy system resilienceEnergy security8190%Fresh
Health and public servicesHealth, food and water83100%Fresh
Import concentrationRecovery capacity8530%Fresh
Trade policy resilienceEconomic capacity85100%Fresh
Food and water securityHealth, food and water9182%Fresh
External-debt coverageRecovery capacity95100%Fresh
Education capacitySocial and governance96100%Fresh
Liquid-reserve adequacyRecovery capacity100100%Fresh
Fuel-stock bufferRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Sovereign fiscal bufferRecovery capacity—0%Not applicable

Comparison set

Nearest ranked peers: Papua New Guinea (#98, 51.6), Laos (#100, 50.8), Maldives (#97, 51.7), Lesotho (#101, 50.8). Comparisons in Europe: Turkmenistan (#109, 49.6), Kyrgyzstan (#87, 53.5), North Macedonia (#84, 53.9), Armenia (#79, 54.1), Belarus (#72, 55.2). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.

Tracked crisis context

The crisis registry links Russia to Ukraine war. Tracker scopes are fixed and do not cover every crisis.

Reading limits

Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Health, food and water, 86.6. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.

Questions about Russia

What is Russia's Country Instability Index?

Russia's Country Instability Index is 76/100 (High), unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Sep 28, 2026, 4:51 AM UTC.

What is Russia's resilience score?

Russia scores 51.5 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #99 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.

Which resilience pillars are weakest for Russia?

Structural readiness is lowest at 55, followed by Recovery capacity at 68.3. Their evidence coverage is 95% and 54%.

Is Russia's resilience score rising or falling?

The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -3.5 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.

Related chokepoint trackers

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the August 29, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect Russia are in the corrections log.

This 2026-08-29 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where World Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: World Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, August 29, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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