Tajikistan resilience analysis
Tajikistan ranks #48 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 59.2 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 67.4, with structural readiness next at 67.8. Live shock exposure is strongest at 76.3, while Health, food and water is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 58.4. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.9 points. Dimension coverage is 79%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Recovery capacity: 67.4; coverage 63%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Structural readiness: 67.8; coverage 88%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Live shock exposure: 76.3; coverage 85%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
Six-domain profile
- Health, food and water: 58.4; weight 13%; low Health and public services 53; high Food and water security 65.
- Social and governance: 61.9; weight 19%; low Governance and institutions 31; high Education capacity 82.
- Recovery capacity: 67.4; weight 25%; low Liquid-reserve adequacy 43; high External-debt coverage 90.
- Economic capacity: 74; weight 17%; low Financial-system exposure 56; high Trade policy resilience 100.
- Energy security: 85; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 85.
- Infrastructure: 87.6; weight 15%; low Core infrastructure 71; high Logistics and supply chains 100.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 31 | 100% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 43 | 100% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 53 | 100% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 54 | 100% | Stale |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 56 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 63 | 100% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 64 | 55% | Stale |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 65 | 82% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 66 | 92% | Stale |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 67 | 80% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 71 | 70% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 75 | 100% | Fresh |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 76 | 85% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 80 | 100% | Stale |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 82 | 80% | Fresh |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 85 | 90% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 90 | 100% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 93 | 100% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 100 | 50% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Canada (#47, 59.4), Romania (#49, 58.9), Brunei (#46, 59.5), Azerbaijan (#50, 58.8). Comparisons in Europe: San Marino, Romania (#49, 58.9), Belgium (#45, 59.6), Azerbaijan (#50, 58.8), Estonia (#41, 60.4). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
Tajikistan has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.
Reading limits
Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Infrastructure, 87.6. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Tajikistan
What is Tajikistan's resilience score?
Tajikistan scores 59.2 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #48 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Tajikistan?
Recovery capacity is lowest at 67.4, followed by Structural readiness at 67.8. Their evidence coverage is 63% and 88%.
Is Tajikistan's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.9 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.