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Romania country risk and resilience

Romania country risk and resilience: ranked #49 of 170 in World Monitor's resilience index, with instability, travel advisories, sanctions and security signals. The structural snapshot is dated and source-labelled; the live monitor loads separately.

Current signal

Romania instability monitor

Published partial pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score—No current score
24-hour comparison-window movementUnavailable
Travel advisory inputExercise Normal Precautions
OFAC designations in feed9 designated entities
Live enhancement pending
Open Romania on the live map →

Recent developments in Romania

Country brief

Key risks

Romania's net energy import dependency of 30% exposes it to supply disruptions or price shocks. [E3]

Outlook

A Polymarket market related to Romania, "Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?", priced Yes at 39% on Sep 28, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2027. [E4]

A Polymarket market related to Romania, "Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", priced Yes at 37% on Sep 28, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2028. [E5]

Watch items

The outcome of discussions between Syria and Romania on parliamentary ties and medical cooperation remains unresolved. [4]

World Monitor data cited

Automated summary of 1 cited report and 3 World Monitor data points, generated .

Structural resilience snapshot

Rank#49
Overall score58.9
Dimension coverage76%
ConfidenceStandard

Romania resilience analysis

Romania ranks #49 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 58.9 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 64.7, with structural readiness next at 71.2. Live shock exposure is strongest at 76.7, while Recovery capacity is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 64.7. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.6 points. Dimension coverage is 76%, and the page labels confidence as standard.

Pillar profile

Six-domain profile

Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first

DimensionDomainScoreCoverageEvidence state
Logistics and supply chainsInfrastructure3150%Fresh
Liquid-reserve adequacyRecovery capacity41100%Fresh
Fiscal spaceRecovery capacity55100%Fresh
Governance and institutionsSocial and governance56100%Fresh
Health and public servicesHealth, food and water61100%Fresh
Social cohesionSocial and governance6692%Stale
State continuityRecovery capacity66100%Stale
Macro-fiscal positionEconomic capacity6895%Fresh
Currency and external balanceEconomic capacity7085%Fresh
Border securitySocial and governance73100%Stale
Education capacitySocial and governance74100%Fresh
Financial-system exposureEconomic capacity7665%Fresh
Information environmentSocial and governance7755%Stale
Core infrastructureInfrastructure7970%Fresh
Energy system resilienceEnergy security85100%Fresh
Cyber and digital capacityInfrastructure86100%Fresh
Import concentrationRecovery capacity87100%Fresh
Food and water securityHealth, food and water9082%Fresh
Trade policy resilienceEconomic capacity97100%Fresh
External-debt coverageRecovery capacity—30%Unmonitored
Fuel-stock bufferRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Sovereign fiscal bufferRecovery capacity—0%Not applicable

Comparison set

Nearest ranked peers: Tajikistan (#48, 59.2), Azerbaijan (#50, 58.8), Canada (#47, 59.4), Chile (#51, 58.7). Comparisons in Europe: Azerbaijan (#50, 58.8), Tajikistan (#48, 59.2), San Marino, Belgium (#45, 59.6), Kazakhstan (#54, 57.5). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.

Tracked crisis context

Romania has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.

Reading limits

Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Energy security, 85. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.

Questions about Romania

What is Romania's resilience score?

Romania scores 58.9 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #49 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.

Which resilience pillars are weakest for Romania?

Recovery capacity is lowest at 64.7, followed by Structural readiness at 71.2. Their evidence coverage is 54% and 88%.

Is Romania's resilience score rising or falling?

The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.6 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the August 29, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect Romania are in the corrections log.

This 2026-08-29 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where World Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: World Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, August 29, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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