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Tunisia country risk and resilience

Tunisia country risk and resilience: ranked #133 of 170 in World Monitor's resilience index, with live instability, advisories, sanctions and security signals. The structural snapshot is dated and source-labelled; the live monitor loads separately.

Official name: Republic of Tunisia. Wikidata identity record.

Current signal

Tunisia instability monitor

Published partial pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score—No current score
24-hour comparison-window movementUnavailable
Travel advisory inputExercise Increased Caution
OFAC designations in feed8 designated entities
Live enhancement pending
Open Tunisia on the live map →

Recent developments in Tunisia

Country brief

What this means for Tunisia

The summer of shortages may be linked to Tunisia's net energy import dependency of 0%, as domestic energy supply could not prevent the shortages. [1][E3]

Key risks

Tunisia is linked to 8 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations, posing a risk of financial and trade restrictions. [E2]

Outlook

A Polymarket market related to Tunisia, "Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?", priced Yes at 6% on Sep 28, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2027. [E4]

Watch items

The outcome of the Polymarket question "Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?" remains unresolved. [E4]

World Monitor data cited

  • E2 · US OFAC and Canada SEMA designations: 8 ·
  • E3 · Net energy import dependency: 0% ·
  • E4 · Polymarket prediction market: 6% ·

Automated summary of 1 cited report and 3 World Monitor data points, generated .

Structural resilience snapshot

Rank#133
Overall score43.5
Dimension coverage85%
ConfidenceStandard

Tunisia resilience analysis

Tunisia ranks #133 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 43.5 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 51.1, with structural readiness next at 53.5. Live shock exposure is strongest at 66.8, while Recovery capacity is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 51.1. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.8 points. Dimension coverage is 85%, and the page labels confidence as standard.

Pillar profile

Six-domain profile

Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first

DimensionDomainScoreCoverageEvidence state
External-debt coverageRecovery capacity15100%Fresh
Education capacitySocial and governance21100%Fresh
Liquid-reserve adequacyRecovery capacity32100%Fresh
Trade policy resilienceEconomic capacity40100%Fresh
Governance and institutionsSocial and governance41100%Fresh
Financial-system exposureEconomic capacity43100%Fresh
Fiscal spaceRecovery capacity52100%Fresh
Food and water securityHealth, food and water5482%Fresh
Logistics and supply chainsInfrastructure54100%Fresh
Currency and external balanceEconomic capacity5685%Fresh
Macro-fiscal positionEconomic capacity5795%Fresh
State continuityRecovery capacity59100%Stale
Information environmentSocial and governance6055%Stale
Energy system resilienceEnergy security6290%Fresh
Social cohesionSocial and governance6292%Stale
Health and public servicesHealth, food and water64100%Fresh
Core infrastructureInfrastructure78100%Fresh
Border securitySocial and governance80100%Stale
Import concentrationRecovery capacity88100%Fresh
Cyber and digital capacityInfrastructure95100%Fresh
Fuel-stock bufferRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Sovereign fiscal bufferRecovery capacity—0%Not applicable

Comparison set

Nearest ranked peers: Djibouti (#132, 43.6), Côte d’Ivoire (#134, 43.5), Sierra Leone (#131, 44.2), Republic of the Congo (#135, 43.3). Comparisons in the Middle East and North Africa: Djibouti (#132, 43.6), Lebanon (#127, 45), Libya (#126, 45), Turkey (#125, 45.1), Bahrain (#122, 46.3). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.

Tracked crisis context

Tunisia has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.

Reading limits

Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Infrastructure, 75.7. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.

Questions about Tunisia

What is Tunisia's resilience score?

Tunisia scores 43.5 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #133 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.

Which resilience pillars are weakest for Tunisia?

Recovery capacity is lowest at 51.1, followed by Structural readiness at 53.5. Their evidence coverage is 63% and 92%.

Is Tunisia's resilience score rising or falling?

The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.8 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the August 29, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect Tunisia are in the corrections log.

This 2026-08-29 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where World Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: World Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, August 29, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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