Turkmenistan resilience analysis
Turkmenistan ranks #109 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 49.6 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 55.3, with structural readiness next at 61.9. Live shock exposure is strongest at 72.2, while Recovery capacity is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 55.3. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at +0.7 points. Dimension coverage is 66%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Recovery capacity: 55.3; coverage 32%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Structural readiness: 61.9; coverage 87%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Live shock exposure: 72.2; coverage 85%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
Six-domain profile
- Recovery capacity: 55.3; weight 25%; low State continuity 53; high Fiscal space 62.
- Social and governance: 60.9; weight 19%; low Information environment 21; high Education capacity 99.
- Economic capacity: 63; weight 17%; low Macro-fiscal position 49; high Trade policy resilience 100.
- Health, food and water: 63.4; weight 13%; low Food and water security 53; high Health and public services 72.
- Energy security: 69; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 69.
- Infrastructure: 84.5; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 61; high Cyber and digital capacity 100.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information environment | Social and governance | 21 | 55% | Stale |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 26 | 100% | Fresh |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 49 | 80% | Fresh |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 53 | 76% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 53 | 82% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 53 | 100% | Stale |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 59 | 85% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 61 | 50% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 62 | 65% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 65 | 92% | Stale |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 69 | 90% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 72 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 79 | 70% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 95 | 100% | Stale |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 99 | 100% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | — | 30% | Unmonitored |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | — | 30% | Unmonitored |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 30% | Unmonitored |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Honduras (#108, 49.7), Ghana (#110, 48.9), Nepal (#107, 49.9), Sri Lanka (#111, 48.8). Comparisons in Europe: Russia (#99, 51.5), Kyrgyzstan (#87, 53.5), North Macedonia (#84, 53.9), Armenia (#79, 54.1), Ukraine (#128, 44.9). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
Turkmenistan has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.
Reading limits
Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Infrastructure, 84.5. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Turkmenistan
What is Turkmenistan's resilience score?
Turkmenistan scores 49.6 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #109 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Turkmenistan?
Recovery capacity is lowest at 55.3, followed by Structural readiness at 61.9. Their evidence coverage is 32% and 87%.
Is Turkmenistan's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of +0.7 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.