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Egypt Country Instability Index

Egypt's Country Instability Index is 34/100 · Normal, up 12 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of .

CII measures current stress. World Monitor's separate Country Resilience Index measures Egypt's longer-term structural capacity.

Official name: Arab Republic of Egypt. Wikidata identity record.

Current signal

Egypt instability monitor

Published pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score34Normal
24-hour comparison-window movementRising +12
Travel advisory inputExercise Increased Caution
OFAC designations in feed28 designated entities
Open Egypt on the live map →

Recent developments in Egypt

Egypt's Country Instability Index is 34/100 · Normal, up 12 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of . Reporting captured in the same window is listed below.

Country brief

What this means for Egypt

The offer of financial grants and housing to Egyptians may reflect perceptions of Egypt's stability, which has a Country Instability Index score of 34 of 100 in the Normal band. [2][E1]

Key risks

Egypt's net energy import dependency of 20% poses a risk to energy security. [E4]

The 28 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations linked to Egypt create financial and reputational risks. [E3]

Outlook

A market on whether Egypt will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026 is priced Yes at 12% as of Sep 28, 2026, closing Jan 1, 2027. [E7]

Watch items

The outcome of the Suez Canal transit calls market closing Sep 29, 2026 is unresolved. [E6]

Whether Egypt will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026 remains an open question. [E7]

World Monitor data cited

Automated summary of 1 cited report and 5 World Monitor data points, generated .

Structural resilience snapshot

Rank#112
Overall score48.7
Dimension coverage83%
ConfidenceStandard

Egypt resilience analysis

Egypt ranks #112 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 48.7 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 58.5, with structural readiness next at 59. Live shock exposure is strongest at 66.5, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 53.5. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.4 points. Dimension coverage is 83%, and the page labels confidence as standard.

Pillar profile

Six-domain profile

Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first

DimensionDomainScoreCoverageEvidence state
Fiscal spaceRecovery capacity2865%Fresh
Liquid-reserve adequacyRecovery capacity31100%Fresh
Governance and institutionsSocial and governance34100%Fresh
Information environmentSocial and governance5155%Stale
Food and water securityHealth, food and water5382%Fresh
State continuityRecovery capacity53100%Stale
Macro-fiscal positionEconomic capacity5495%Fresh
Education capacitySocial and governance55100%Fresh
Energy system resilienceEnergy security5590%Fresh
Social cohesionSocial and governance57100%Stale
Currency and external balanceEconomic capacity5985%Fresh
Health and public servicesHealth, food and water60100%Fresh
Financial-system exposureEconomic capacity61100%Fresh
Logistics and supply chainsInfrastructure62100%Fresh
External-debt coverageRecovery capacity68100%Fresh
Border securitySocial and governance70100%Stale
Core infrastructureInfrastructure83100%Fresh
Import concentrationRecovery capacity88100%Fresh
Cyber and digital capacityInfrastructure100100%Fresh
Trade policy resilienceEconomic capacity100100%Fresh
Fuel-stock bufferRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Sovereign fiscal bufferRecovery capacity—0%Not applicable

Comparison set

Nearest ranked peers: Sri Lanka (#111, 48.8), Namibia (#113, 48.4), Ghana (#110, 48.9), South Africa (#114, 48.2). Comparisons in the Middle East and North Africa: Morocco (#102, 50.7), Bahrain (#122, 46.3), Algeria (#94, 51.9), Turkey (#125, 45.1), Lebanon (#127, 45). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.

Tracked crisis context

Egypt has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.

Reading limits

Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Infrastructure, 81.7. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.

Questions about Egypt

What is Egypt's Country Instability Index?

Egypt's Country Instability Index is 34/100 (Normal), up 12 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Sep 28, 2026, 4:51 AM UTC.

What is Egypt's resilience score?

Egypt scores 48.7 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #112 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.

Which resilience pillars are weakest for Egypt?

Recovery capacity is lowest at 58.5, followed by Structural readiness at 59. Their evidence coverage is 58% and 93%.

Is Egypt's resilience score rising or falling?

The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.4 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.

Related chokepoint trackers

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the August 29, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect Egypt are in the corrections log.

This 2026-08-29 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where World Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: World Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, August 29, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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