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Country · IQ

Iraq Country Instability Index

Iraq's Country Instability Index is 64/100 · Elevated, up 4 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of .

CII measures current stress. World Monitor's separate Country Resilience Index measures Iraq's longer-term structural capacity.

Official name: Republic of Iraq. Wikidata identity record.

Current signal

Iraq instability monitor

Published pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score64Elevated
24-hour comparison-window movementRising +4
Travel advisory inputDo Not Travel
OFAC designations in feed193 designated entities
Open Iraq on the live map →

Recent developments in Iraq

Iraq's Country Instability Index is 64/100 · Elevated, up 4 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of . Reporting captured in the same window is listed below.

Country brief

What this means for Iraq

The jailing of lawmakers for illicit enrichment underscores governance challenges in a country with a Country Instability Index score of 64 of 100. [2][E1]

The departure of U.S. forces may affect security dynamics in a country where the most severe government travel advisory is Do Not Travel. [5][E2]

Key risks

Iraq's link to 193 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations poses a financial risk to entities operating in the country. [E3]

Outlook

A Polymarket market related to Iraq, "Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?", priced Yes at 59% on Sep 28, 2026; it closes Sep 30, 2026. [E5]

Watch items

The outcome of the Polymarket question on whether Iran will target Iraq by September 30, 2026 is unresolved. [E5]

The impact of U.S. forces' departure from Iraq remains to be seen. [5]

World Monitor data cited

  • E1 · Country Instability Index: 64 of 100 (Elevated) ·
  • E2 · Travel advisory: Do Not Travel ·
  • E3 · US OFAC and Canada SEMA designations: 193 ·
  • E5 · Polymarket prediction market: 59% ·

Automated summary of 2 cited reports and 4 World Monitor data points, generated .

  1. GDELT 190 — in Iraq — source: english.news.cn conflict source
  2. GDELT 190 — in Iraq — source: english.news.cn conflict source
  3. GDELT 190 — in Iraq — source: english.news.cn conflict source
  4. GDELT 182 — in Iraq — source: english.news.cn conflict source
  5. GDELT 190 — in Iraq — source: english.news.cn conflict source

Structural resilience snapshot

RankNot ranked
Overall score—
Dimension coverage69%
ConfidenceStandard

World Monitor does not publish a resilience score for Iraq because it does not meet the published ranking eligibility criteria.

Iraq resilience analysis

World Monitor does not publish a resilience score or rank for Iraq because it does not meet the published ranking eligibility criteria. Officially Republic of Iraq. Iraq is in the rankable universe as a UN member. Ranked comparisons use the Middle East and North Africa peers rather than other unpublished pages. The snapshot records Iraq as IQ.

Why Iraq is unpublished

Iraq's coverage is 69%, which meets the 65% floor, but a published rank also needs a recorded population of at least 200,000 or coverage of at least 85%. Strongest observed coverage is Border security at 100%, Cyber and digital capacity at 100%, and Education capacity at 100%.

Source inventory gaps

Macro-fiscal position and Fiscal space have no usable observed series. Those slots depend on IMF, which does not contribute observed series for those dimensions. Fiscal space is tagged unmonitored because the source does not cover Iraq.

What the snapshot does cover

Observed evidence is present for Border security (100%), Cyber and digital capacity (100%), Education capacity (100%), External-debt coverage (100%), Governance and institutions (100%), and Health and public services (100%). Input coverage is 69% and imputation share is 8%.

Dimension evidence inventory

Showing 11 of 21 active dimensions, weakest evidence first; 10 more at full coverage.

Currency and external balance is observed but below the 50% coverage a supported reading needs, so it is recorded here without counting as supported readings.

Nearest ranked comparators

Nearest ranked comparators: Iran, Tunisia, Djibouti, Yemen. Ranked comparisons in the Middle East and North Africa: Iran, Tunisia, Djibouti, Yemen, Libya. Links do not use unpublished scores.

Tracked crisis context

The crisis registry links Iraq to Hormuz and Gulf security. Tracker scopes are fixed and do not cover every crisis.

Reading limits

Evidence comes from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Iraq coverage is 69% with imputation share 8%. No score is published.

Questions about Iraq

What is Iraq's Country Instability Index?

Iraq's Country Instability Index is 64/100 (Elevated), up 4 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Sep 28, 2026, 4:51 AM UTC.

What is Iraq's resilience score?

No resilience score or rank is published for Iraq. Iraq's published rank would require coverage of at least 65%, no low-confidence flag, and either a population of at least 200,000 or coverage of at least 85%. Low confidence for Iraq means coverage falls below 55% or imputation share exceeds 40%.

What evidence is available for Iraq?

Observed evidence is present for Border security (100%), Cyber and digital capacity (100%), Education capacity (100%), External-debt coverage (100%), Governance and institutions (100%), and Health and public services (100%). Input coverage is 69% and imputation share is 8%.

How should readers use Iraq's page?

Use the evidence inventory and nearest ranked comparators with the live monitor. A missing score does not mean risk is absent.

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the August 29, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect Iraq are in the corrections log.

This 2026-08-29 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where World Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: World Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, August 29, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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