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Israel Country Instability Index

Israel's Country Instability Index is 68/100 · High, up 2 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of .

CII measures current stress. World Monitor's separate Country Resilience Index measures Israel's longer-term structural capacity.

Current signal

Israel instability monitor

Published pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score68High
24-hour comparison-window movementRising +2
Travel advisory inputReconsider Travel
OFAC designations in feed16 designated entities
Open Israel on the live map →

Recent developments in Israel

Israel's Country Instability Index is 68/100 · High, up 2 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of . Reporting captured in the same window is listed below.

Country brief

Key risks

The most severe government travel advisory for Israel is Reconsider Travel, reflecting risks to safety and security. [E2]

Outlook

A Polymarket market related to Israel, "Israel military action against Lebanon on September 30?", is priced Yes at 88% as of Sep 28, 2026, and closes Sep 30, 2026. [E5]

A Polymarket market related to Israel, "Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?", is priced Yes at 86% as of Sep 28, 2026, and closes Oct 21, 2026. [E6]

Watch items

The outcome of the Polymarket market on whether Israel will take military action against Lebanon on September 30, 2026, remains unresolved. [E5]

The outcome of the Polymarket market on whether Benjamin Netanyahu will be the next Prime Minister of Israel is unresolved until Oct 27, 2026. [E7]

World Monitor data cited

Automated summary of 4 World Monitor data points, generated .

Structural resilience snapshot

Rank#53
Overall score57.7
Dimension coverage76%
ConfidenceStandard

Israel resilience analysis

Israel ranks #53 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 57.7 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 64.8, with structural readiness next at 65.8. Live shock exposure is strongest at 78.6, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 48.3. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.3 points. Dimension coverage is 76%, and the page labels confidence as standard.

Pillar profile

Six-domain profile

Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first

DimensionDomainScoreCoverageEvidence state
Border securitySocial and governance13100%Stale
Logistics and supply chainsInfrastructure3150%Fresh
State continuityRecovery capacity40100%Stale
Social cohesionSocial and governance42100%Stale
Fiscal spaceRecovery capacity55100%Fresh
Governance and institutionsSocial and governance60100%Fresh
Information environmentSocial and governance6070%Stale
Financial-system exposureEconomic capacity7376%Fresh
Cyber and digital capacityInfrastructure75100%Fresh
Energy system resilienceEnergy security7590%Fresh
Core infrastructureInfrastructure7970%Fresh
Trade policy resilienceEconomic capacity80100%Fresh
Macro-fiscal positionEconomic capacity8395%Fresh
Import concentrationRecovery capacity84100%Fresh
Education capacitySocial and governance92100%Fresh
Food and water securityHealth, food and water9382%Fresh
Health and public servicesHealth, food and water93100%Fresh
Currency and external balanceEconomic capacity10085%Fresh
Liquid-reserve adequacyRecovery capacity100100%Fresh
External-debt coverageRecovery capacity—30%Unmonitored
Fuel-stock bufferRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Sovereign fiscal bufferRecovery capacity—0%Not applicable

Comparison set

Nearest ranked peers: Solomon Islands (#52, 58.3), Kazakhstan (#54, 57.5), Chile (#51, 58.7), Mongolia (#55, 57.4). Comparisons in the Middle East and North Africa: Oman (#63, 56.5), Malta (#64, 56.4), Saudi Arabia (#32, 61.6), Qatar (#30, 61.7), Jordan (#88, 52.9). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.

Tracked crisis context

The crisis registry links Israel to Iran–Israel escalation, Lebanon–Israel escalation. Tracker scopes are fixed and do not cover every crisis.

Reading limits

Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Health, food and water, 93. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.

Questions about Israel

What is Israel's Country Instability Index?

Israel's Country Instability Index is 68/100 (High), up 2 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Sep 28, 2026, 4:51 AM UTC.

What is Israel's resilience score?

Israel scores 57.7 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #53 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.

Which resilience pillars are weakest for Israel?

Recovery capacity is lowest at 64.8, followed by Structural readiness at 65.8. Their evidence coverage is 54% and 92%.

Is Israel's resilience score rising or falling?

The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.3 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.

Related reading

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the August 29, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect Israel are in the corrections log.

This 2026-08-29 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where World Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: World Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, August 29, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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