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Country · SY

Syria Country Instability Index

Syria's Country Instability Index is 72/100 · High, unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of .

CII measures current stress. World Monitor's separate Country Resilience Index measures Syria's longer-term structural capacity.

Official name: Syrian Arab Republic. Wikidata identity record.

Current signal

Syria instability monitor

Published pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score72High
24-hour comparison-window movementUnchanged
Travel advisory inputDo Not Travel
OFAC designations in feed300 designated entities
Open Syria on the live map →

Recent developments in Syria

Syria's Country Instability Index is 72/100 · High, unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of . Reporting captured in the same window is listed below.

Country brief

What this means for Syria

The arrest of an ISIS cell planning attacks underscores the ongoing security threat in a country with a Country Instability Index score of 72 of 100, in the High band. [4][E1]

Syria's transit of gasoline to Iraq occurs despite being linked to 300 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations. [3][E3]

Key risks

The most severe government travel advisory World Monitor tracks for Syria is Do Not Travel, indicating extreme risk for anyone entering the country. [E2]

Outlook

A Polymarket market on "Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?" was priced Yes at 9% on Sep 28, 2026, closing Sep 30, 2026. [E5]

A Polymarket market on "Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?" was priced Yes at 13% on Sep 28, 2026, closing Oct 31, 2026. [E6]

Watch items

The outcome of the Polymarket market on Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026, closing on that date, remains unresolved. [E5]

The arrest of an Assad-era general over an alleged role in the 2011 Saida Housing massacre is an unresolved legal event. [2]

World Monitor data cited

Automated summary of 3 cited reports and 5 World Monitor data points, generated .

  1. GDELT 180 — in Syria — source: www.arabnews.com conflict source
  2. GDELT 1822 — in Syria — source: english.aawsat.com conflict source
  3. GDELT 1822 — in Syria — source: english.aawsat.com conflict source
  4. GDELT 190 — in Syria — source: www.euronews.com conflict source
  5. GDELT 186 — in Syria — source: organiser.org conflict source
  6. GDELT 186 — in Syria — source: organiser.org conflict source
  7. GDELT 202 — in Syria — source: www.arabnews.com conflict source
  8. GDELT 202 — in Syria — source: www.arabnews.com conflict source
  9. GDELT 202 — in Syria — source: www.arabnews.com conflict source
  10. GDELT 202 — in Syria — source: www.arabnews.com conflict source

Structural resilience snapshot

RankNot ranked
Overall score—
Dimension coverage54%
ConfidenceLow

World Monitor does not publish a resilience score for Syria because it does not meet the published ranking eligibility criteria.

Syria resilience analysis

World Monitor does not publish a resilience score or rank for Syria because it does not meet the published ranking eligibility criteria. Officially Syrian Arab Republic. Syria is in the rankable universe as a UN member. Ranked comparisons use the Middle East and North Africa peers rather than other unpublished pages. The snapshot records Syria as SY.

Why Syria is unpublished

Syria's coverage is 54%, below the 55% confidence gate and the 65% ranking floor.

Source inventory gaps

Macro-fiscal position, Education capacity, External-debt coverage, Fiscal space, Import concentration, and Liquid-reserve adequacy have no usable observed series. Those slots depend on IMF, World Bank, and UN Comtrade, which do not contribute observed series for those dimensions. Education capacity, External-debt coverage, Fiscal space, Import concentration, and Liquid-reserve adequacy are tagged unmonitored because the source does not cover Syria.

What the snapshot does cover

Observed evidence is present for Border security (100%), Cyber and digital capacity (100%), Governance and institutions (100%), Health and public services (100%), State continuity (100%), and Trade policy resilience (100%). Input coverage is 54% and imputation share is 26%.

Dimension evidence inventory

Showing 12 of 21 active dimensions, weakest evidence first; 6 more at full coverage; 3 omitted for brevity.

Currency and external balance is observed but below the 50% coverage a supported reading needs, so it is recorded here without counting as supported readings.

Nearest ranked comparators

Nearest ranked comparators: Yemen, Iran, Tunisia, Djibouti. Ranked comparisons in the Middle East and North Africa: Yemen, Iran, Tunisia, Djibouti, Libya. Links do not use unpublished scores.

Tracked crisis context

Syria has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 14 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.

Reading limits

Evidence comes from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Syria coverage is 54% with imputation share 26%. No score is published.

Questions about Syria

What is Syria's Country Instability Index?

Syria's Country Instability Index is 72/100 (High), unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Sep 28, 2026, 4:51 AM UTC.

What is Syria's resilience score?

No resilience score or rank is published for Syria. Syria's published rank would require coverage of at least 65%, no low-confidence flag, and either a population of at least 200,000 or coverage of at least 85%. Low confidence for Syria means coverage falls below 55% or imputation share exceeds 40%.

What evidence is available for Syria?

Observed evidence is present for Border security (100%), Cyber and digital capacity (100%), Governance and institutions (100%), Health and public services (100%), State continuity (100%), and Trade policy resilience (100%). Input coverage is 54% and imputation share is 26%.

How should readers use Syria's page?

Use the evidence inventory and nearest ranked comparators with the live monitor. A missing score does not mean risk is absent.

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the August 29, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect Syria are in the corrections log.

This 2026-08-29 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where World Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: World Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, August 29, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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