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United Arab Emirates Country Instability Index

United Arab Emirates's Country Instability Index is 50/100 · Normal, unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of .

CII measures current stress. World Monitor's separate Country Resilience Index measures United Arab Emirates's longer-term structural capacity.

Current signal

United Arab Emirates instability monitor

Published pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score50Normal
24-hour comparison-window movementUnchanged
Travel advisory inputReconsider Travel
OFAC designations in feed759 designated entities
Open United Arab Emirates on the live map →

Recent developments in United Arab Emirates

United Arab Emirates's Country Instability Index is 50/100 · Normal, unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of . Reporting captured in the same window is listed below.

Country brief

Key risks

The Strait of Hormuz shipping chokepoint poses a risk to the UAE, given its zero percent net energy import dependency. [E5][E4]

Watch items

A Polymarket market asks whether Iran will target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026, priced Yes at 9%. [E6]

World Monitor data cited

Automated summary of 3 World Monitor data points, generated .

Structural resilience snapshot

Rank#11
Overall score66.5
Dimension coverage74%
ConfidenceStandard

United Arab Emirates resilience analysis

United Arab Emirates ranks #11 of 170 countries with an overall resilience score of 66.5 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 73.4, with recovery capacity next at 74.1. Live shock exposure is strongest at 82.2, while Health, food and water is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 71.1. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -1 points. Dimension coverage is 74%, and the page labels confidence as standard.

Pillar profile

Six-domain profile

Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first

DimensionDomainScoreCoverageEvidence state
Sovereign fiscal bufferRecovery capacity1450%Fresh
Food and water securityHealth, food and water5382%Fresh
Currency and external balanceEconomic capacity6085%Fresh
Governance and institutionsSocial and governance63100%Fresh
Liquid-reserve adequacyRecovery capacity64100%Fresh
Information environmentSocial and governance6755%Stale
Social cohesionSocial and governance6892%Stale
Macro-fiscal positionEconomic capacity7380%Fresh
State continuityRecovery capacity75100%Stale
Financial-system exposureEconomic capacity7976%Fresh
Core infrastructureInfrastructure7970%Fresh
Border securitySocial and governance81100%Stale
Energy system resilienceEnergy security8390%Fresh
Fiscal spaceRecovery capacity85100%Fresh
Education capacitySocial and governance86100%Fresh
Health and public servicesHealth, food and water86100%Fresh
Import concentrationRecovery capacity86100%Fresh
Cyber and digital capacityInfrastructure100100%Fresh
Logistics and supply chainsInfrastructure10050%Fresh
Trade policy resilienceEconomic capacity100100%Fresh
External-debt coverageRecovery capacity—30%Unmonitored
Fuel-stock bufferRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable

Comparison set

Nearest ranked peers: Sweden (#10, 66.9), Finland (#12, 65.6), Luxembourg (#9, 67.1), Uruguay (#13, 65.3). Comparisons in the Middle East and North Africa: Kuwait (#15, 64.6), Qatar (#30, 61.7), Saudi Arabia (#32, 61.6), Israel (#53, 57.7), Oman (#63, 56.5). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.

Tracked crisis context

The crisis registry links United Arab Emirates to Hormuz and Gulf security. Tracker scopes are fixed and do not cover every crisis.

Reading limits

Scores come from the August 29, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Infrastructure, 93.3. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.

Questions about United Arab Emirates

What is United Arab Emirates's Country Instability Index?

United Arab Emirates's Country Instability Index is 50/100 (Normal), unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Sep 28, 2026, 4:51 AM UTC.

What is United Arab Emirates's resilience score?

United Arab Emirates scores 66.5 out of 100 in the August 29, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #11 of 170 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.

Which resilience pillars are weakest for United Arab Emirates?

Structural readiness is lowest at 73.4, followed by Recovery capacity at 74.1. Their evidence coverage is 87% and 60%.

Is United Arab Emirates's resilience score rising or falling?

The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -1 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.

Related chokepoint trackers

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the August 29, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect United Arab Emirates are in the corrections log.

This 2026-08-29 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where World Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: World Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, August 29, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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